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*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:34 am

This R/S line is starting to give me a sick feeling. I hope it collapses as the low deepens.

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Post by Guest Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:35 am

As far as what Rayno said he shouldn't be surprised. NAM CALLED THIS ALL ALONG.

On second thought ef this storm anyway. I admire sroc4 for being able to stay silent with as angry as he's gotta be I'm going to try and go silent to. Only one more post will be a final total when we switch over. GIANT MIDDLE FINGER TO THIS POS STELLA

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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:36 am

Yeah, UPTON just lowered NYC and coastal CT to 8-16 inches. That r/s line is crashing northward. Congrats interior tho, they deserved a good one.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:36 am

425 AM EDT Tue Mar 14 2017

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* Locations...New York City, Northeast New Jersey, the Lower
Hudson Valley, Southwestern and interior Southeastern
Connecticut, and Northern Nassau and Northwestern Suffolk
Counties.

* Hazard Types...Heavy Snow and Blizzard Conditions.

* Snow and Sleet Accumulations...1 to 2 feet across interior
areas. 8 to 16 inches of snow and sleet are expected across New
York City, Northwestern Long Island and Coastal Southwestern
Connecticut. Locally higher amounts are possible, especially
over areas north and west of New York City.

* Snowfall Rates...2 to 4 inches per hour at times.

* Timing...The snow may mix with sleet at times across
Northwestern Long Island and portions of the New York City
metropolitan area later this morning into this afternoon. The
precipitation will change back to all snow before ending this
evening.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:38 am

Models had the 850mb low east of our area. It has formed but it already looks kinda west to me. Hope we're not in for a rude awakening...literally.

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 19 IMG_20170314_043616.jpg.c2dea6e959a639bd47e6277962fa8746

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Post by hurrysundown23 Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:38 am

Folks now you see how the MET's on TV hype this stuff up. This a complete bust make for reality TV. Yesterday Star Ledger called it "Life Threatening" RS Line will keep totals down now Philly they calling for 1-3 inches and Jersey totals dropped unless you live in the NW part of the state. Remember a good MET NEVER EVER POSTS TOTALS!

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:41 am

Yikes, it's 33* and plain rain in Philly. If that doesn't go back to snow, there's gonna be a lynch mob for the forecasters down there.
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Post by snowlover78 Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:46 am

My company closed due to inclement weather, they would regret big time. Anyways, I am a day off.

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Post by Radz Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:51 am

R/S line continues to race, gotta nap, can't watch this...
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Post by SoulSingMG Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:54 am

Mixing in Brooklyn now. Incredible. The NAM is just deadly lately. This may be the second greatest bust I've ever experienced, after Jan 2015. Only thing I can think of is the r/s line crashes back east as the storm intensifies...
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Post by heehaw453 Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:57 am


Hello all. I'm in upper bucks about 50 miles north of philly and about 600 feet. It's all pingers now. Mid levels getting flooded with warm air. 4 inches before that though.

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:57 am

Good news is I dropped a degree to 27*. Still snowing. Just watched 6ABC in Philly to get a feel for the mood there. David Henry was already writing off totals in South Jersey and - doing the slow walk back - saying Philly would be at the lower end of its projections due to rain and mixing. Now I'm hoping I'm far enough N and W to hold the line on snow here.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 4:59 am

R/s line stalled

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 19 Mix2

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:00 am

Frank_Wx wrote:R/s line stalled

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 19 Mix2

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12
Yupp, LI putting a halt to it. Possible that the south shore of LI could be the dividing line

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:07 am

SoulSingMG wrote:Mixing in Brooklyn now. Incredible. The NAM is just deadly lately. This may be the second greatest bust I've ever experienced, after Jan 2015. Only thing I can think of is the r/s line crashes back east as the storm intensifies...

Certainly possible. Some of the models yesterday showed the mix line progressing north then stopping and collapsing back south and east a bit. That's my hope since I'm very close to the line right now (though holding strong with cold and snow at the moment). Too late to save much more snow for most of the coastal/shore towns I fear though.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:09 am

Mix line collapsing south

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

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Post by WOLVES1 Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:11 am

Frank that Virginia Beach theory is a fine line just like that rain snow line.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:13 am

Possible Deformation band forming over BGM down through PA. Puking snow here

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 19 17273310

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:17 am

Alex you may be the big winner this time (and you deserve it after missing some to your south east the last year).
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:18 am

billg315 wrote:Alex you may be the big winner this time (and you deserve it after missing some to your south east the last year).

Yes very possible. 4km NAM shows 40" here with ratios lmao. Usually BGM misses these storms, so it's nice to see it happen!

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:18 am

4" here now, wind picking up

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:21 am

Good grief, I just heard it. That sound. Sleet hitting my windows. Stop it now!!! Give me my all snow back! Mad
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:22 am

Currently have my comp hooked to a monitor which is showing CC radars, my actual comp for forums, streaming Eyewitness news and FB, mac live streaming TWC, iPAD looping BGM radar scope and Iphone looping Upton radar scope. lol

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:22 am

aiannone wrote:
billg315 wrote:Alex you may be the big winner this time (and you deserve it after missing some to your south east the last year).

Yes very possible. 4km NAM shows 40" here with ratios lmao. Usually BGM misses these storms, so it's nice to see it happen!

How are visibilities up there right now?
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:23 am

OUCH.....
*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 19 Captur10

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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:25 am

billg315 wrote:
aiannone wrote:
billg315 wrote:Alex you may be the big winner this time (and you deserve it after missing some to your south east the last year).

Yes very possible. 4km NAM shows 40" here with ratios lmao. Usually BGM misses these storms, so it's nice to see it happen!

How are visibilities up there right now?

Very low. Probably 1/4 mile or less and snow is starting to blow sideways

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Post by hurrysundown23 Tue Mar 14, 2017 5:25 am

This for Sayreville NJ updated by NOAA @ 4:51 am

Overnight
Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 28. Blustery, with a northeast wind around 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

Tuesday
Rain, snow and sleet, possibly mixed with freezing rain before noon, then rain, possibly mixed with freezing rain between noon and 3pm, then rain, snow and sleet likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain after 3pm. The rain, snow, and freezing rain could be heavy at times. High near 34. Windy, with a northeast wind 25 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible.

Tuesday Night
A chance of snow, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Breezy, with a west wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Wednesday
A slight chance of snow before 9am, then a chance of snow showers, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Breezy, with a northwest wind 14 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Wednesday Night
A chance of snow showers before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. Breezy, with a west wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

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