Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:31 pm

Okay it can warm up now where's that global warming so many honk at now? Not people on here I mean other places.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:36 pm

Isn't true running soon.....

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:36 pm

GFS hour 6 ridge a little better

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:37 pm

Gfs out to hour 30 let's see what happens if we can at least get the glibals I'll b happy if even one fails I think it's shot.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:42 pm

I can't tell as well as the pros on here but hour 42 looks about the same?

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:47 pm

The deafening silence answers the question if this is squelched or not. Ehh might as well watch the run anyways.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:51 pm

jmanley32 wrote:The deafening silence answers the question if this is squelched or not. Ehh might as well watch the run anyways.

Keep giving us updated human please....

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:53 pm

Southern stream is a bit slower this run. We need that northern energy to drop down and phase. Its going to be close.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:55 pm

I don't even see a lp in the SW Atlantic like on 18z

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:56 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:Southern stream is a bit slower this run. We need that northern energy to drop down and phase. Its going to be close.

That southern stream being delayed some may help

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:56 pm

Wait hr 84 is it good that the low popped by fl coast rather than over east of Bahamas?

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:57 pm

Low forms closer to the coast this run. Trough is digging deeper too.

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:57 pm

Correct me if I'm wrong but that northern stream or polar vort is in a region with bad sampling?

by **Sanchize06** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:57 pm

Hr 90 looks pretty good, appears maybe slightly west of 18z

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:58 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:The deafening silence answers the question if this is squelched or not. Ehh might as well watch the run anyways.
Keep giving us updates

please....

B

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 8:58 pm

Yeah the low pops way east I think this may be good!

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:00 pm

Hmm 18z looks like split low now 00z looks in the middle but consolidated.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:02 pm

Looks east to me....poo

by **Sanchize06** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:02 pm

The northern stream doesn't look so great this run, this should be OTS and slightly east, most likely

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:04 pm

Annnd it's over well east of 18z and 12z.

by **Sanchize06** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:06 pm

CMC also shows less interaction as well and therefore is forced OTS

by **MattyICE** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:07 pm

CMC also east though trying to break off a secondary LP behind.

by **skinsfan1177** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:07 pm

Yeah not good Ukie well east as well

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:11 pm

Well guys I'll see ya next time around tired of these massive storms waving at us from the ocean. And actually my hunch was this would happen. Not that it was going to go well.

by **jmanley32** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:14 pm

Now if the ensembles come west that will just throw a even worse wrench into it.

by **billg315** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:17 pm

The South American model is waaay west.

by **jimv45** Sat Dec 30, 2017 9:18 pm

Still a lot of winter to go let's hope a big storm is in our future and please not a rainstorm.

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