Re: January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:08 pm

300mb jet streak looks nice. The more this expands to the west the larger the precip shield is likely to be.

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 4 300mb_sf

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 4 300mb_sf

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:10 pm

Current radar

NAM depiction at same time stamp. Current radar shows bands MUCH further west

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:11 pm

Convection...some people may see 3-4"/hour snowfall rates (cough long island)

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 4 5a4d7e6296693_CODNEXLAB-GOES16-CleanLong-waveInfrared-00_00Z-19700101_853-870-1-100(1).gif.2914bbb93778e86945cc08f0f9b712a5

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 4 5a4d7e6296693_CODNEXLAB-GOES16-CleanLong-waveInfrared-00_00Z-19700101_853-870-1-100(1).gif.2914bbb93778e86945cc08f0f9b712a5

by **billg315** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:12 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
billg315 wrote:I think the time for models has really passed. Best thing to do now is see how the radar and other real-time data are progressing.

Hrrr?

I just think inside of 12 hours why not just watch what's really happening. There's no guarantee a super short-range model is going to be 100% accurate anyway so why not just watch how it progresses in real-time. we're all going to get our answer soon enough. lol

by mwilli5783 Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:13 pm

after when this passes(with all this week of checking out different models and y this storm is not acting right this week up until now) don't u guys feel like there's a "letdown"till we gear up for the next snowstorm?..4 me it's after the brutal cold snap this weekend i wanna gear up 4 some more action..let's have another one by next week...

by **mikeypizano** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:13 pm

billg315 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
billg315 wrote:I think the time for models has really passed. Best thing to do now is see how the radar and other real-time data are progressing.

Hrrr?

I just think inside of 12 hours why not just watch what's really happening. There's no guarantee a super short-range model is going to be 100% accurate anyway so why not just watch how it progresses in real-time. we're all going to get our answer soon enough. lol

It does run every hour though...

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:14 pm

Something I noticed I was at 26° 3 hours ago now I'm at 33° why?

by **amugs** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:16 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:16 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Something I noticed I was at 26° 3 hours ago now I'm at 33° why?

Heights are rising ahead of the storm thanks to the TVP over the Great Lakes. How else ya think this storm is moving from SE to NNW?

Also steering winds are pointing north

by **billg315** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:18 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
billg315 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
billg315 wrote:I think the time for models has really passed. Best thing to do now is see how the radar and other real-time data are progressing.

Hrrr?

I just think inside of 12 hours why not just watch what's really happening. There's no guarantee a super short-range model is going to be 100% accurate anyway so why not just watch how it progresses in real-time. we're all going to get our answer soon enough. lol

It does run every hour though...

Eh, once I get into the final stage of storm tracking I'd rather watch the radars and get reports from reporting stations to my south and west than look at the models. But I'm old school. Or maybe just old. lol

by **Scullybutcher** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:19 pm

[quote="Frank_Wx"]Convection...some people may see 3-4"/hour snowfall rates (cough long island)

Sounds great to me and syo and sroc if he makes it home

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:19 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Something I noticed I was at 26° 3 hours ago now I'm at 33° why?

Heights are rising ahead of the storm thanks to the TVP over the Great Lakes. How else ya think this storm is moving from SE to NNW?

Also steering winds are pointing north

Should I be concerned about mixing at all

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:20 pm

amugs wrote:

Very similar to mine plus or minus some miles with the heaviest amounts.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:21 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Something I noticed I was at 26° 3 hours ago now I'm at 33° why?

Heights are rising ahead of the storm thanks to the TVP over the Great Lakes. How else ya think this storm is moving from SE to NNW?

Also steering winds are pointing north

Should I be concerned about mixing at all

Yes, might cut down snow totals by 99%

...kidding

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:22 pm

21z SREF plumes are out...wow

21z SREF Plumes are up for many locations

7.18" EWR
8.55" HPN
9.13" JFK.
12.24" ISP

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:22 pm

I LOVE YOU ALL

by **skinsfan1177** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:23 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:Something I noticed I was at 26° 3 hours ago now I'm at 33° why?

Heights are rising ahead of the storm thanks to the TVP over the Great Lakes. How else ya think this storm is moving from SE to NNW?

Also steering winds are pointing north

Should I be concerned about mixing at all

Yes, might cut down snow totals by 99%

...kidding

Haha

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:24 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:Something I noticed I was at 26° 3 hours ago now I'm at 33° why?

I am 28*F?

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:24 pm

Rocky II.

Mothrazilla coming.

Working from home tomorrow.

Had peas tonight.

Man.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:25 pm

SREFS

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 4 IMG_1046.PNG.a9e0dc5a3838ea320a2d9e40f2b7c0e1

January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 4 IMG_1047.PNG.1665711c9bc046a87d92bb0e4231413b

by **billg315** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:26 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Rocky II.

Mothrazilla coming.

Working from home tomorrow.

Had peas tonight.

Man.

Any Nutella at the house?

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:26 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Rocky II.

Mothrazilla coming.

Working from home tomorrow.

Had peas tonight.

Man.

Interesting.
Watching a podcast.
Godzilla Coming.
Also working from home.
Had Caesar salad.
Man....

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:27 pm

billg315 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Rocky II.

Mothrazilla coming.

Working from home tomorrow.

Had peas tonight.

Man.
Any Nutella at the house?

It's banned until further notice from the Paparatto household after my GF and I ate a large jar on our own. New Years resolution, one can say.

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:28 pm

Quietace wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Rocky II.

Mothrazilla coming.

Working from home tomorrow.

Had peas tonight.

Man.

Interesting.
Watching a podcast.
Godzilla Coming.
Also working from home.
Had Caesar salad.
Man....

I did not see a snow map from you. I pay you more than any other mod.

Fired.

by **billg315** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:28 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
billg315 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Rocky II.

Mothrazilla coming.

Working from home tomorrow.

Had peas tonight.

Man.
Any Nutella at the house?

It's banned until further notice from the Paparatto household after my GF and I ate a large jar on our own. New Years resolution, one can say.

lol

by **Frank_Wx** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:29 pm

by **Quietace** Wed Jan 03, 2018 8:30 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
Quietace wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Rocky II.

Mothrazilla coming.

Working from home tomorrow.

Had peas tonight.

Man.

Interesting.
Watching a podcast.
Godzilla Coming.
Also working from home.
Had Caesar salad.
Man....

I did not see a snow map from you. I pay you more than any other mod.

Fired.

That's weird. I am still waiting on back pay from 2013....

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