Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

by **billg315** Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:05 am

As I said in the previous storm thread - sorry jumped the gun posting about this there, couldn’t help myself :-) - I think there’s a lot to like about this midweek event. Where the low develops, more cold air, duration. Could be another fun one!

by **sroc4** Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:14 am

WeatherBob wrote:Looks like our departing Monster might help in funneling down some low level cold air from eastern Canada down the NE coast. See GFS 925 mb maps. HUM!

Exactly!

by **amugs** Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:27 am

The Aechambault event has miler A written all over it IMO for next Monday. Split flow and guldbstrean interacting, 50/50 blockade in the NATL with enough NAO left over. PNA holding so....
Each storm will have a direct influence on the next Good spacing as well.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:37 am

by **billg315** Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:52 am

amugs wrote:The Aechambault event has miler A written all over it IMO for next Monday. Split flow and guldbstrean interacting, 50/50 blockade in the NATL with enough NAO left over. PNA holding so....
Each storm will have a direct influence on the next Good spacing as well.

And historically right on the anniversary of the 1993 “storm of the century” which could be a good omen. :-)

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:58 am

billg315 wrote:
amugs wrote:The Aechambault event has miler A written all over it IMO for next Monday. Split flow and guldbstrean interacting, 50/50 blockade in the NATL with enough NAO left over. PNA holding so....
Each storm will have a direct influence on the next Good spacing as well.
And historically right on the anniversary of the 1993 “storm of the century” which could be a good omen. :-)

and Murphy's Law...my son in 7th grade just made JR National Honor Society..guess what date induction ceremony is ...lol

by **billg315** Sat Mar 03, 2018 11:00 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:
billg315 wrote:
amugs wrote:The Aechambault event has miler A written all over it IMO for next Monday. Split flow and guldbstrean interacting, 50/50 blockade in the NATL with enough NAO left over. PNA holding so....
Each storm will have a direct influence on the next Good spacing as well.
And historically right on the anniversary of the 1993 “storm of the century” which could be a good omen. :-)
and Murphy's Law...my son in 7th grade just made JR National Honor Society..guess what date induction ceremony is ...lol

Uh oh. Lol. Well it’s aways off for timing so maybe the storm will start after the ceremony. :-)

by **weatherwatchermom** Sat Mar 03, 2018 11:03 am

billg315 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
billg315 wrote:
amugs wrote:The Aechambault event has miler A written all over it IMO for next Monday. Split flow and guldbstrean interacting, 50/50 blockade in the NATL with enough NAO left over. PNA holding so....
Each storm will have a direct influence on the next Good spacing as well.
And historically right on the anniversary of the 1993 “storm of the century” which could be a good omen. :-)
and Murphy's Law...my son in 7th grade just made JR National Honor Society..guess what date induction ceremony is ...lol
Uh oh. Lol. Well it’s aways off for timing so maybe the storm will start after the ceremony. :-)

sh don't tell I will take snow they can reschedule....

by **rb924119** Sat Mar 03, 2018 11:07 am

NO REST FOR WEARY. I THINK I MIGHT REALLY LIKE THIS SETUP............AGAIN.

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Mar 03, 2018 11:13 am

rb924119 wrote:NO REST FOR WEARY. I THINK I MIGHT REALLY LIKE THIS SETUP............AGAIN.

WHICH?? The 8th or the 12th??

by **rb924119** Sat Mar 03, 2018 11:46 am

SoulSingMG wrote:
rb924119 wrote:NO REST FOR WEARY. I THINK I MIGHT REALLY LIKE THIS SETUP............AGAIN.

WHICH?? The 8th or the 12th??

Well let's not get ahead of ourselves here, Soul ahaha one storm at a time, especially when each storm is difficult enough to drive even the most insane among us to the edge ahaha the 8th is the one I'm presently referring to lol

by **WeatherBob** Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:10 pm

RB - look at the 2m temps on the GFS , we are not going to go through the pain again? Are we?

by Guest Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:21 pm

I think I need work on loving the process as much as some of my message board brothers and sisters do. I'm not sure I can handle another letdown.

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:23 pm

READ! (Great "Miller B" write-up via @crankywxguy)

http://www.stormhamster.com/entry/e030318.htm

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:24 pm

TheAresian wrote:I think I need work on loving the process as much as some of my message board brothers and sisters do. I'm not sure I can handle another letdown.

I saw Corning NY had ALMOST two feet. Aren't you fairly close to them?

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:24 pm

Does this have the potential to be as severe as this one? Many people probably still won't have their power back by Wednesday and if snother windstorm happens that would be bad. 64k have no power in Westchester and coned is just starting assessing now as it was too windy last night. But I really hope I see snow this time.

by **WeatherBob** Sat Mar 03, 2018 12:36 pm

Mugs - what the hell is the Aechambault event ? Should I know this? As a matter of fact, should anyone know this?

by Guest Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:12 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
TheAresian wrote:I think I need work on loving the process as much as some of my message board brothers and sisters do. I'm not sure I can handle another letdown.

I saw Corning NY had ALMOST two feet. Aren't you fairly close to them?

While Corning is only about 2 miles east from here, I haven't been there to see how much snow they got. I do know that Bath, NY which is about 20 miles west got about 2 feet. Kinda like the warm tongue that ruined the storm for a lot of people down your way, while we were getting rain, they were getting pounded with snow.

by **Grselig** Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:16 pm

I don’t mind the dissapointment only because it means there is a chance at snow. ‘‘Tis better to have loved and lost than not have tasted the exquisite joy of love itself”. Just substitute snow and snowed and it’s much more meaningful

by **amugs** Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:33 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Mugs - what the hell is the Aechambault event ? Should I know this? As a matter of fact, should anyone know this?

Bob Heather Archimbault - she is a Dr at Albnay and works for NOAA fluid Dynamics. She wrote a paper/ thesis on the dynamics of when a N NAO feature breaks down the atmosphere usually responds with an east coast cyclone. Hence the Archimbault storm

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/heathera/

by **sroc4** Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:42 pm

Good gawd the euro is sexy

by **SoulSingMG** Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:43 pm

EURO!!!!!!

by **crippo84** Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:44 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:EURO!!!!!!

Show us something!

by **essexcountypete** Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:45 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Mugs - what the hell is the Aechambault event ? Should I know this? As a matter of fact, should anyone know this?

Yeah, I had to look it up. At first I thought it was the atmospheric version of Rock, Paper, Scissors.

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 03, 2018 1:54 pm

Holy smokes 12z gfs and euro!! I'll take 12 to 14!!

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 03, 2018 2:00 pm

So which is right or are the gfs and euro finally for once in agreement? Was cmc also on board? Last night it showed 12 for me about. I best not get under that snowing but not snowing thing again.

by **jmanley32** Sat Mar 03, 2018 2:01 pm

crippo84 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:EURO!!!!!!

Show us something!

it's a mothrazilla to Godzilla for some local areas.

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