12/16-12/17 Godzilla: Final Snow Map & Obsevations

Filing in again

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

Looks like maybe an inch on the ground here and, not quite the dry slot, but not snowing much. I really don't know how West Orange is going to reach a foot of snow as predicted.

6.5" at 9:30 pm, temp 23.4* It has lightened up quite a bit, but still pretty windy.

Two areas of interest on the radar now. One is an area of heavy bands/cells over South Jersey and Delaware Bay moving north. Those could pack a punch if they continue north through NJ. The second is that area of heavy bands over Northern VA moving northeast. If that swings east at bit as the storm pulls out, that could also produce some heavy precip later tonight. Those seem to be out best hopes for additional accumulation as the evening progresses.

I’m in north Caldwell tonight just started sleeting man feel like this storm won’t live up to the snow amounts predicted please tell me I’m wrong 5 in here

Winds howling here with light snow.
Ditto Zoos measurement.
Though my temp is 23* I don't have the tenth of a degree on my system.

In Manorville (central/eastern) Suffolk its ripping and winds are howling.

4.5 inches
30.6 degrees

Snowy very lightly winds are starting to pick up

aiannone wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Filing in again

http://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1Kphla_h.gif

Looks like the filling in over the jersey shore is moving northeast towards NYC and LI

I am in Kings Park Bring it!!

4.75 inches. it snow 1.5 inches in the 30 minutes or. 1.5 inches per beer

Dry slot in Clifton passed through. Now have mixed precip. Will it turn back to snow anytime soon

This dry slot is killing me!

Back into a mix of sleet and snow here. Not has heavy as earlier, but the dry slot seems to be passing. The wind has kicked up as well.

Sleeting moderately here

Started back up mix of snow and sleet 24 degrees

Need to watch this in the morning. Shown on all guidance. Area of very heavy snow along the coast. There is still dry slotting over those stuck between the coast and the mega frontogenic band across NY

Too early to call bust just yet. It's hard to get a read on this one! Radar looks different every 20 minutes with new convective bands popping up and dry spots trying to fill in.

Sleet and snow still

Frank_Wx wrote:Too early to call bust just yet. It's hard to get a read on this one! Radar looks different every 20 minutes with new convective bands popping up and dry spots trying to fill in.

Frank, some of the short range models (HRRR) and "futurecast" type models seem to show the precip largely filling in and continuing overnight. The radar doesn't really support that right now, but - as you point out - can change/fill in. Do you have a sense if they are onto something, or are just out to lunch?

As an aside, I don't really care if this is a technical "bust" right now. I have about 6" or so here and it blitzed snow for several hours this afternoon and this evening. That is so far superior to anything from last winter that (and especially to get it a week before Christmas) I will not complain if I end up with only 6 or 7".

rb924119 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Need to watch this in the morning. Shown on all guidance. Area of very heavy snow along the coast. There is still dry slotting over those stuck between the coast and the mega frontogenic band across NY

I think that’s what has developed now over coastal NJ, Frank.

Hmm, maybe. But this time stamp is 12z (00z NAM)

The 850s temperatures have cooled and seeing a CAD signature again. Let's see if the warm air can get flushed out of the column.

By the way, the 'x' is where 12z GFS had the low at one pont. Uhm...yea.