Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:01 pm

The NAM is close to unleashing King Kong on us. I guess Kong is > than Godzilla

by **Joe Snow** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:02 pm

Current Radar nice banding flowing northward

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 11 2-1-2112

by **dsix85** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:04 pm

Still no snow here in Manorville

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:05 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:10am tomorrow per 00z NAM

Here is 1pm

4pm

7pm

thats insane it doesnt look like its moving at all from 10-7 holy crapola. What are the rates in that?

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:06 pm

The NAM does bring a dry slot north into Long Island by 8pm or so. The Jersey shore changes to rain around mid-afternoon as well. However, it shows lots of snow has fallen by then. This is because the 700mb low is W-SE of them. However, NYC and points west especially NNJ are obliterated

by **frank 638** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:07 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:The NAM does bring a dry slot north into Long Island by 7pm or so. The Jersey shore changes to rain around mid-afternoon as well. However, it shows lots of snow has fallen by then

the dry slot will it make it up to by me in the Bronx

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:08 pm

frank 638 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The NAM does bring a dry slot north into Long Island by 7pm or so. The Jersey shore changes to rain around mid-afternoon as well. However, it shows lots of snow has fallen by then
the dry slot will it make it up to by me in the Bronx

we are still in snow late into tues night : )

by **Joe Snow** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:09 pm

dsix85 wrote:Still no snow here in Manorville

Almost there give it 1/2 hour or so

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:09 pm

Just was out back with the dogs..we have 3 inches so far..really fine snow winds 6 mph temp is 23*

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:09 pm

One trend tonight:

Models want it to keep snowing into Tuesday afternoon, especially over EPA and NJ. That will be higher ratio snow.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:10 pm

Its coming down pretty good now, the 00z nam is gonna be crazy it has wrap around snow.

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:11 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

sorry to ask silly questions. is that wind???

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:11 pm

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:12 pm

Frank did you see the 3km nam, it develops a second LP well to the east that goes due north and disappears, wth was that?

by **Joe Snow** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:13 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

sorry to ask silly questions..what does this map represent..tia

Imagine if you will a snowblower throwing snow at you, kinda like that

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:15 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!

sorry to ask silly questions..what does this map represent..tia

Wind speed at the mid level of the atmosphere. It shows a jet of air there that can indicate where heaviest precipitation bands may form.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:16 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

frank this isnt even near done, its still snowing moderately past 15z tuesday!!

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:18 pm

4pm TUESDAY 00z NAM

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 11 Namconus_ref_frzn_neus_39

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:18 pm

3km still snowing...wow and franks posted nam snow map doesnt include this.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 11 Nam3km25

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:20 pm

FRANK TOTAL INSANITY ON NAM!!!

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:20 pm

Think I've got to retire early tonight. Tomorrow hopefully is fruitful.

Light to moderate snow about 5" OTG. 19.7/18

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 11 Snowso10

by **hyde345** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:21 pm

Nam still snowing 48 hours from now

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:23 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 11 Captur13

This northern s/w phases into the trough around 7am Tuesday morning and reenergizes the snow bands over our area, per 00z NAM. It ends up snowing into early Wednesday morning.

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:23 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

This northern s/w phases into the trough around 7am Tuesday morning and reenergizes the snow bands over our area, per 00z NAM. It ends up snowing into early Wednesday morning.

Do you think thats even plausible? I mean thjat would change everything.

by **billg315** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:25 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

This northern s/w phases into the trough around 7am Tuesday morning and reenergizes the snow bands over our area, per 00z NAM. It ends up snowing into early Wednesday morning.

Well now this is just getting silly. Lol. I didn’t stock enough beer to get through Wednesday.

by **heehaw453** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:26 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:

This northern s/w phases into the trough around 7am Tuesday morning and reenergizes the snow bands over our area, per 00z NAM. It ends up snowing into early Wednesday morning.

Not that I buy the NAM but this whole setup impressed the hell out of me for days. In particular the depth of trough and the inability for it to move. Who the heck knows what NS vortex spins down that perpendicular cliff. It's interesting run by the NAM.

by **Frank_Wx** Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:27 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:

This northern s/w phases into the trough around 7am Tuesday morning and reenergizes the snow bands over our area, per 00z NAM. It ends up snowing into early Wednesday morning.
Do you think thats even plausible? I mean thjat would change everything.

Yea, I do. Maybe not into Wednesday morning but I think there's enough upper level energy to be had that we snow through Tuesday evening

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