Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast

by **heehaw453** Thu Feb 18, 2021 7:35 am

21.2/19.5 Moderate snow

I'm hearing part of Lower Bucks County PA approaching 5". I'm probably close to 1", bur rates are improving.

by gigs68 Thu Feb 18, 2021 7:39 am

Light Snow in Commack-Roads coated- 27 degrees

by **Grselig** Thu Feb 18, 2021 7:39 am

Light snow 24 in Wayne

by **Irish** Thu Feb 18, 2021 7:45 am

Snowing heavily here, close to 2 inches. I think getting a half foot is easily in the cards and wouldn't be shocked to see places hit a foot.

May have to do a quick update on the final show map, Frank. Thoughts?

by **oldtimer** Thu Feb 18, 2021 7:48 am

Light snow in Port Jefferson. 26*

by **Joe Snow** Thu Feb 18, 2021 7:50 am

Kings Park, NY light snow already a dusting on the driveway.

by **Radz** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:00 am

24* not a flake up here in Northern Westchester

by **Snow88** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:01 am

Moderate snow here in Brooklyn NY

25 degrees

Sticking nicely

by kalleg Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:05 am

New Hope update: Small flakes an hour ago, now distinctly larger, an inch on the ground, sticking on the walk and street. Temp up a degree to 24*

by SkiSeadooJoe Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:06 am

ok went from moderate/heavy sleet to a light-moderate snow now, I hope this stacks up quick we got some catching up to do down here! temp is down to 27.3 from 31.6 at 630am

by **SENJsnowman** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:10 am

Good to hear Seadoo! Still sleeting myself. So far sorely disappointed of course, but we’ll see what happens.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:20 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Current R/S line

Update

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 7 Captur18

by **heehaw453** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:30 am

Moderate to heavy snow now. About 2" OTG. Small sized dendrites. Wind picking up too.

21.4/20.6

In terms of the sleet based on the 700 mb isotherms bending I suspect it stays mostly south of I-78 today.

by **SNOW MAN** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:31 am

Nothing here at my location in the Pocono's. 18.6* 15*dew point.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:37 am

Irish wrote:Snowing heavily here, close to 2 inches. I think getting a half foot is easily in the cards and wouldn't be shocked to see places hit a foot.

May have to do a quick update on the final show map, Frank. Thoughts?

I actually think I am going to leave it as is. One obvious change I would make is drag the 3-6 line down more. But I don't think CNJ/SNJ area stay all snow and will see it changeover to sleet/mix by 1pm. Most places across NNJ/PA/NYC will land in the high end of my range.

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:39 am

300 mb jet streak setting up. Pretty strong. Position still a bit west but its on the move.

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 7 300mb_sf

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 7 300mb_sf

by **algae888** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:40 am

Mod snow at home in Mt Vernon. Nice band about to move in. Precip shield now starting to expand northward

by **heehaw453** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:45 am

Warm tongue at 850's (1 mile ASL) now popping up in SE NJ.

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 7 Warmto10

by **jmanley32** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:48 am

GM all, just got up its beens snowing moderately for at least a while got a coating, roads mainly wet though, the edges are starting to fill in. 25 degrees, a bit colder than forecasted which obviously bodes well.

by **heehaw453** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:49 am

Areas in and around Philly towards Southern Bucks/Montgomery Counties are already passing 1/2' of snow. Those areas in Southern Bucks may obtain close to 1' IMO.

by **heehaw453** Thu Feb 18, 2021 8:56 am

The snow has become heavy and easily 1"/hr now. There are numerous 35 dbz bands popping up.

by **SENJsnowman** Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:02 am

heehaw453 wrote:Warm tongue at 850's (1 mile ASL) now popping up in SE NJ.

Maybe popping up on the radar now, but’s it’s been my reality since 7 am. Is it possible to laugh and cry simultaneously?

by **essexcountypete** Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:08 am

Went to bed last with WU saying 4-6". Now they are showing 6-11" with 1-3" for Friday.

by **aiannone** Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:08 am

by SkiSeadooJoe Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:11 am

Right Snowman, its actually feezing rain sleet mix now by me, got a coating OTG and never really got more than 15 mins of all snow falling, just does not want to deliver the goods down here

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:11 am

sroc4 wrote:300 mb jet streak setting up. Pretty strong. Position still a bit west but its on the move.

Woah, check out all that upper level divergence in NJ

by Artingerb Thu Feb 18, 2021 9:12 am

VERY large flakes here in Kinnelon 650ft elev heavily snowing 28 deg

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