Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Feb 18, 2021 11:52 am

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=OKX-N0Q-1-24#

by **Irish** Thu Feb 18, 2021 11:53 am

aiannone wrote:Let's take a minute to tell the GFS "It's okay, you can try again next storm"

Many locations are at or nearly doubled this output from the GFS so far

We are getting hammered by me! The snowflakes falling are like snowballs, lol. What you posted Alex is exactly why I thought Frank would adjust his totals, we easily have a half a foot now. Heavy snow with some sleet mixed in. So beautiful!!

by **essexcountypete** Thu Feb 18, 2021 11:53 am

The sound of sleet/graupel mixing in with snow is unmistakable Rolling Eyes

by **heehaw453** Thu Feb 18, 2021 11:54 am

The new GFSv16 still say good accumulations are in store until end of storm. I think Jersey Shore may do just fine when all is said and done.

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 12 Paragf13

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Feb 18, 2021 11:56 am

Irish wrote:
aiannone wrote:Let's take a minute to tell the GFS "It's okay, you can try again next storm"

Many locations are at or nearly doubled this output from the GFS so far

We are getting hammered by me! The snowflakes falling are like snowballs, lol. What you posted Alex is exactly why I thought Frank would adjust his totals, we easily have a half a foot now. Heavy snow with some sleet mixed in. So beautiful!!

We just went back to all snow..no pinging on the windows...I am 20 min behind you so looking forward to that coming my way!!
Enjoy!

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 11:56 am

NAM did a good job once again with this storm overall.

by **Irish** Thu Feb 18, 2021 11:57 am

Heavy sleet mixing with snow now.

by **billg315** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:02 pm

Bouncing back and forth between snow and a snow/sleet mix here. Presently mostly snow, but not has heavy as earlier.

by **docstox12** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:06 pm

21 degrees, moderate to heavy snow, fine and powdery, closing in on 2 inches here.Huge sleet bands in central Jersey on the radar.

by **SENJsnowman** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:07 pm

Heavy precip. 80/20 snow mix. 1.5-2” otg. Don’t ever give up!

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 12 Ea7b6d10

by **jmanley32** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:08 pm

3" OTG and ripping big flakes. Beautiful out.

by **phil155** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:09 pm

Irish wrote:Heavy sleet mixing with snow now.

Same here in Edison

by **docstox12** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:10 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:Heavy precip. 80/20 snow mix. 1.5-2” otg. Don’t ever give up!

Good for you, SENJ! Hope you get a nice snowfall out of this.

by **jmanley32** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:13 pm

Looks like the back end is moving in quickly. Already going to hit the low end of the advisory with this, hope to see good snow tonight into tomorrow.

by **Vinnydula** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:13 pm

Sleet mixing in.

by **Vinnydula** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:15 pm

Didn't think sleet would make it up this way

by **jmanley32** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:17 pm

Are those returns just wrest of LI and south shore snow?!! Or is it already mixing that far north, thats a bit too close for comfort.

by **jmanley32** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:18 pm

Vinnydula wrote:Didn't think sleet would make it up this way

No sleet here, thats that pesky 850mb temp thing they were talking about popping up in places, i do not think it will last especially up by you.

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:19 pm

heehaw453 wrote:The new GFSv16 still say good accumulations are in store until end of storm. I think Jersey Shore may do just fine when all is said and done.

That is going to bust low for NENJ, we already have 3.5"

by **essexcountypete** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:22 pm

Interesting to see differing p-type reports from towns that seem not that far from each other.

We got to 2.75" in Bloomfield until the sleet started pouring which actually took my measurement down to 2.6".

While I'm typing this it just went back to all snow. And it's quiet again.

by DAYBLAZER Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:22 pm

Looks like it's shutting off up here in NW NJ. Can we expect any more? I have about 4 inches, no complaints at all. Just wondering if any more snow is in order.

by **heehaw453** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:23 pm

That dotted line blue line buldge about 10K feet is the WAA. It's the reason for sleet below I-78. Some of the bands also have warm air in them and will sleet above 78. Just depends on which band you're under.

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 12 Sleet10

by **aiannone** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:23 pm

Snow/sleet mixture here in melville. Wavering back and forth to mostly snow

by **aiannone** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:26 pm

And back to a ripping snow

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:27 pm

Mixing with sleet now uggghhhhh - hate that!
DAM warm layer - temps 24/23 now up to 26/25

by Zhukov1945 Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:29 pm

heehaw453 wrote:That dotted line blue line buldge about 10K feet is the WAA. It's the reason for sleet below I-78. Some of the bands also have warm air in them and will sleet above 78. Just depends on which band you're under.

It's been pretty much a sleetfest up in Clinton (close to 78) for at least the last hour. Same story, different day lol.

by **aiannone** Thu Feb 18, 2021 12:33 pm

and now all sleet again. damn this is annoying

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