HomeJanuary 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:53 am
sroc4 wrote:sroc4 wrote:The MSLP hasnt even touched the coast yet
Also look out west. Once again the Pac strikes again. I believe Frank pointed this out a day or two or few ago but there is potent Pac energy crashing the coast which is affecting the western trough. We had prev characterized the western trough as "workable" but id put money on the fact that if that energy was delayed by 6-12 hrs the northern soln would have been the outcome. Just enough flattening to prevent a nice sharp turen more NNE rather than NE or even ENE to the track. I was so focused on the JS that I forgot to look west. The JS position is likely directly related to just how flat or amped the ridge out west is.
That's a great point and Frank did note that out days ago. The western ridge takes a beating these past several years causing progressive flows.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:26 am
dsix85 wrote:Sroc- do we even get an inch out by us from this?
I do. I still think 1-3 is possible N to S east of Rte 83 or perhaps William floyd. But it will come later
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:34 am
the township salted the roads by me in edison but I have not seen a flake. Congrats to the folks in SNJ, enjoy
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by frank 638 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:40 am
Same here in NYC so much salt in the ground but not even a flake
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:51 am
I was hoping to see at least some mood flakes out of this but I guess it is not in the cards for this storm
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:00 pm
You can see the frontogenesis chasing the baroclinic zone (purple lines off NJ coast). The batch to the west is what may give the I-95 1-2", but I'm skeptical as the air is really dry.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:11 pm
Barnegat,NJ. White Gold.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:14 pm
Right on Larry. I’m up in Toms River where it’s starting to pick up a little, I’m hoping when I get back to Bayville (5 miles south of Toms River) it looks more like Barnegat. Lol
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:14 pm
larryrock72 wrote:Barnegat,NJ. White Gold.
Beautiful! How much on the ground? I see the AC and LBI web cams and it's looking really nice.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by amugs Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:17 pm
Getting blitzed in SNJ! Wow!!
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:35 pm
. I would say 3-4 so far. Plow just came by. Should snow until 3:00 or 4:00 today.heehaw453 wrote:larryrock72 wrote:
Beautiful! How much on the ground? I see the AC and LBI web cams and it's looking really nice.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:56 pm
heehaw453 wrote:You can see the frontogenesis chasing the baroclinic zone (purple lines off NJ coast). The batch to the west is what may give the I-95 1-2", but I'm skeptical as the air is really dry.
I think 700mb is telegraphing where the snow will make it.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:58 pm
The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low. If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:00 pm
sroc4 wrote:The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low. If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:01 pm
The 12Z NAM is nailing the reality of the dry 700mb air and understanding it's tough to snow on I-95 because of it. GFS still wants to lay snow down to the surface. 
NAM does clip eastern LI with several inches FWIW and I can believe that as the storm exits because you have moisture transport setup there.
NAM does clip eastern LI with several inches FWIW and I can believe that as the storm exits because you have moisture transport setup there.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:01 pm
Snow has picked up considerably in Toms River…heading south back to Bayville/Berkeley now. Let’s see…
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:02 pm
. One more photo
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by heehaw453 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:07 pm
sroc4 wrote:sroc4 wrote:The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low. If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least
Agreed it's going to clip eastern LI Rhode Island and SE MA.
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by larryrock72 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:19 pm
. One more photo
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:36 pm
heehaw453 wrote:sroc4 wrote:sroc4 wrote:The angle of the height falls at 850 also may telegraph the movement of the 850mb low. If that track takes place there is a good chance the snow makes it far enough north to reach the southern CT coast at least
Agreed it's going to clip eastern LI Rhode Island and SE MA.
I still think NYC is still in the game for an inch or so
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by amugs Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:20 pm
Heavy, wind driven snow (near blizzard-like conditions) on the north side of Atlantic City, NJ! @NorEasterNick @ACPressMartucci @NWS_MountHolly @HurricaneNBC10 @CecilyTynan pic.twitter.com/R3ht1TTo9x
— Robert Bennett (@stormchaser0026) January 3, 2022
Awesome!
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by amugs Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:34 pm
More to add to teh totals !!!
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:52 pm
amugs wrote:More to add to teh totals !!!
Boom! I’ve been waiting YEARS to be in one of them squiggly circles again!!
So after a VERY slow start to the day, we have 3” otg, a full sky of moderate to heavy snow and a full radar for hopefully several more hours.
Haven’t dropped a 6 spot on the ground since the insane late March blizzard in 2018. Is today the day?
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by SENJsnowman Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:55 pm
Snowfall just got heavier…
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:02 pm
SENJsnowman wrote:amugs wrote:More to add to teh totals !!!
Boom! I’ve been waiting YEARS to be in one of them squiggly circles again!!
So after a VERY slow start to the day, we have 3” otg, a full sky of moderate to heavy snow and a full radar for hopefully several more hours.
Haven’t dropped a 6 spot on the ground since the insane late March blizzard in 2018. Is today the day?
I am not far from the circled area and have not seen a flake in edison, very serious cutoff
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by sroc4 Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:14 pm
SENJsnowman wrote:Snowfall just got heavier…
Go get yours!!!!
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
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Re: January 3rd 2022 potential coastal snowstorm
by phil155 Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:32 pm
Finally have a few flakes 
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