January 2024 Observations and Discussion

27.3 down 3 degrees since the onset. Dew point is 23.9 up 2 degrees. Moderate snow Oaklyn, Camden County.

Upton's latest attempt. I’d be shocked and thrilled if I end up with 2-3” given the trends over the past 12-24-48hrs in the hi res modeling.

Let’s go you little inverted/Norlun trough beeotch. Show that unpredictability that everyone talks about.

Good luck everyone.

No snow here yet but I am thinking within the next 30-45 mins we should be under way

This is what NWS model guidance is.

I think most see at least a few inches. 6" is probably the ceiling on this for southern areas.

Frank_Wx wrote:

phil155 wrote:Edison schools are closed tomorrow as well

I never thought I would use the line “back in my day”

…but back in my day, school was NEVER canceled for 1-3” of snow

I agree and beyond that they made this call to close well before one flake from an expected light snow and as of now it is still not snowing

sroc4 wrote:Upton's latest attempt.  I’d be shocked and thrilled if I end up with 2-3” given the trends over the past 12-24-48hrs in the hi res modeling.

Let’s go you little inverted/Norlun trough beeotch. Show that unpredictability that everyone talks about.

Good luck everyone.

I will be happy with 1 to 2 up North.Will be nice to see it snowing with the snowpack and cold temps.

heehaw453 wrote:This is what NWS model guidance is.  

I think most see at least a few inches. 6" is probably the ceiling on this for southern areas.

This seems pretty reasonable to me given the overlapping model guidance and accounting for ratios.

Current conditions: 30*f, dew point 19*f Radar indicates light snow/flurries developing to my north, south, east, and west, although I’m sure some Virga. Notice the Wading River snow hole. That’s how my year is going. Lol

Looks like it’s coming down at a good clip in SNJ

Nothing yet in Jersey city

Frank_Wx wrote:Looks like it’s coming down at a good clip in SNJ

Nothing yet in Jersey city

Yep, when I got up at 630 there was barely a flurry coming down, now we have light-mod snow and the everything has a good coating

Snowing good here roads starting to get covered

31 and some light small snowflakes..I am sure if I look at fb there are moms on there screaming they cancelled school for this??? lol good luck everyone..stay safe!

Light snow starting up here.

23.7/23.5 moderate snow 1/2" new snow. Past few events cold surface temps have been nice.

Flurries in Wayne NJ. 25

heehaw453 wrote:23.7/23.5 moderate snow 1/2" new snow. Past few events cold surface temps have been nice.

Congrats it’s your winter

26* Light Snow here.

Nothing here actually it looks like sun is trying to break through. Ironic that doc is getting snow and we aren't. Many orange county and Sullivan county schools are closed, are the schools seeing a weather forecast we arent? Ahh just looked at rdar, looks like NYC and northern NJ is go be in a subsidence area theres a big gap and snow to north and south. With that might not see a flake.

First few flakes starting to fall in East Village Manhattan.

.

Snow falling, grass covered, roads still wet. Snowing steadily for the last hour. Southern Ocean county. Barnegat, NJ exit 67 off GSP

This just feels like it will be a bust for many, just that gut feeling . Not scientific I know but ever get that gut feeling ? This has it for me

docstox12 wrote:Light snow starting up here.

I'm away for this one Doc. I'll need you to be my official measurer for the inch we're suppose to get.

An even 12 inches on the season so far. Will see if we can add anything to that today.

Good Luck to NYC and south. Hoping NYC can break the 2 inch snow drought now so we can stop hearing about that.

phil155 wrote:This just feels like it will be a bust for many, just that gut feeling . Not scientific I know but ever get that gut feeling ? This has it for me

Depends on your definition of “bust”. If that means relatively low snow totals for most on here, I’d say yes as I wouldn’t expect more than a couple inches for most people. If bust means forecast was overdone I wouldn’t really say that. This never looked like more than a 1-2” event northern areas, 2-4” central, 3-6” in South Jersey, and those amounts will likely be close even if at bottom of ranges.

Nada so far

Light snow now in Piscataway. (8:45AM)