JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
+32
WeatherBob
Brookster
billg315
Zhukov1945
silentwreck
Math23x7
skinsfan1177
heehaw453
essexcountypete
agorr1188
tomsriversnowstorm
aiannone
GreyBeard
docstox12
brownie
1190ftalt
Mathgod55
SoulSingMG
NJBear
frank 638
MattyICE
SENJsnowman
rb924119
amugs
Dunnzoo
sabamfa
weatherwatchermom
phil155
jmanley32
CPcantmeasuresnow
Grselig
Frank_Wx
36 posters
Page 7 of 18
Page 7 of 18 • 1 ... 6, 7, 8 ... 12 ... 18
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Winds that high already? That doesn't bode well as its not even close to being near full force is it over there? Yeah will let you know how it gets here right now cold and dead calm. Wouldn't even know a storm is coming.rb924119 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:I guess good with the bad right, at least your getting to see snow for the 2nd time, though its gonna weigh on trees and exacerbate flooding potential.rb924119 wrote:Flurries starting here, slight breeze. Tons of snow still on the trees, with up to 2” more before it gets soaked and heavy. Terrific![]()
Third time haha If I get 2” today I’ll be at 20” for the season so far. I’m not worried about flooding here at the house, because we are on top of a mountain, but down in town might get ugly lol the wind is the scariest part, by far, but I’m hoping my forecast is on track and it doesn’t get too bad lol not sure if you noticed in my picture, but we’re surrounded by really big and tall timber haha I’ve seen gusts to about 40 mph so far in western PA, so, so far, so good lol
Moderate snow now, going on a half-inch.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20593
Join date : 2013-12-12
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Yeah, that’s about on track, I think.
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Join date : 2013-02-06
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Is timing still on track for winds to pick up around noon to 2 and rain to start and then the higher winds begin to ramp up from 6pm to 6am as the warning states that's the time frame (talking about here). Wanting to plan this evening as I sometimes stay late but should I head home at 5 or 6? I know the worst is much later but models show fairly strong winds well before.rb924119 wrote:Yeah, that’s about on track, I think.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20593
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Raining here. It started a few minutes ago as snow, but quickly changed over. I still have a few inches of complete snow cover on my property, so hope it melts before the deluge starts.
brownie- Posts : 397
Reputation : 17
Join date : 2013-11-10
Location : Parsippany, NJ
weatherwatchermom likes this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
jmanley32 wrote:Is timing still on track for winds to pick up around noon to 2 and rain to start and then the higher winds begin to ramp up from 6pm to 6am as the warning states that's the time frame (talking about here). Wanting to plan this evening as I sometimes stay late but should I head home at 5 or 6? I know the worst is much later but models show fairly strong winds well before.rb924119 wrote:Yeah, that’s about on track, I think.
Probably between 3-5pm for you it’ll start ramping up.
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 2848
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 41
Location : bronx ny
jmanley32 likes this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
jmanley32 wrote:Wow NWS has increased the max wind gust map significantly IMBY by 15+ mph. they also mention not only will gusts be to 65mph in and around nyc, and 70 mph on coast but that locally HIGHER gusts meaning hurricane force could happen. I couldn't copy and past the snippet but it is in the briefing. Area of heaviest rain also shifted a bit. At this point its pretty much nowcast time.
https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/01092024_am_public.pdf
I think their wind ma is pretty good but max winds are very difficult to predict
phil155- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 487
Reputation : 4
Join date : 2019-12-16
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Moderate snow here now.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 8557
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY
amugs, jmanley32 and weatherwatchermom like this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Oh no doubt but the potential is there for some pretty serious winds uncommon to the area, even the coast and LI aren't really often impacted by the winds possible.phil155 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Wow NWS has increased the max wind gust map significantly IMBY by 15+ mph. they also mention not only will gusts be to 65mph in and around nyc, and 70 mph on coast but that locally HIGHER gusts meaning hurricane force could happen. I couldn't copy and past the snippet but it is in the briefing. Area of heaviest rain also shifted a bit. At this point its pretty much nowcast time.
https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/01092024_am_public.pdf
I think their wind ma is pretty good but max winds are very difficult to predict
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20593
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Don't blow away! Stay safe and avoid travel you know how the parkways get, I am going to try to leave work on time today. Hunker down have the flashlights ready is all I can really do, living in a apartment does have it's advantages. Power loss is the only real concern. The basement can flood but that's not my responsibility.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20593
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
UH OH. Just had our first gust of wind lol wasn’t a big one, but a sign of things to come haha
Approaching 1.5” on the ground, still snowing.
Approaching 1.5” on the ground, still snowing.
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Umm Houston - what's with the increase in speed please??
![JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat - Page 7 GDah5AbWkAUwcOA?format=jpg&name=small](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GDah5AbWkAUwcOA?format=jpg&name=small)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15095
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Light rain by me. City and Long Island all rain. Easterly wind at 14 mph. Looks like rain everywhere but the far northwest corner of New Jersey, northern PA. and Hudson Valley and points north but looks like changeover is not far behind.
Rain and Snow line
Rain and Snow line
GreyBeard- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 725
Reputation : 34
Join date : 2014-02-12
Location : eastern nassau county
1190ftalt- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 402
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Stillwater, NJ
Frank_Wx and amugs like this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
33° and moderate snow for the last hour, what a beautiful winter landscape on top of the 9.5 inches that fell Saturday night.
What a wicked tease will there even be anything left by Wednesday morning? Doubt it.
What a wicked tease will there even be anything left by Wednesday morning? Doubt it.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 7274
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY
weatherwatchermom likes this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Didn't realize started raining and a bit breezy (that is accentuated by the funnel effect in downtown new Rochelle).
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20593
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
55 mph gust in northwestern PA……oyyy
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:33° and moderate snow for the last hour, what a beautiful winter landscape on top of the 9.5 inches that fell Saturday night.
What a wicked tease will there even be anything left by Wednesday morning? Doubt it.
Same here, CP.Enjoying every minute of the amazing disappearing snow pack.Guess these days maybe a few days is all we are going to get.Guess we go to rain soon.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 8557
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY
CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Wow that is a big change on the GFS, well it is in line with NWS, maybe this is why they upped everything? What did NAM 3km look like if you have it? Thats impressive for GFS I gotta say those are NAM numbers.amugs wrote:Umm Houston - what's with the increase in speed please??
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20593
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:33° and moderate snow for the last hour, what a beautiful winter landscape on top of the 9.5 inches that fell Saturday night.
What a wicked tease will there even be anything left by Wednesday morning? Doubt it.
There might be, CP, and just think, it’ll be a true glacier if there is haha more resistant to the melting that is inevitably coming to your backyard
![told ya](/users/3017/35/58/46/smiles/1932913920.gif)
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Holy crow, rb, not even a twig moving here yet.rb924119 wrote:55 mph gust in northwestern PA……oyyy
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 8557
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
docstox12 wrote:Moderate snow here now.
Been some 50 weeks since I’ve been able to say that! Lol! Enjoy the calm, and a safe rain and wind storm to all today/tonight!
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1189
Reputation : 61
Join date : 2017-01-06
Age : 51
Location : Bayville, NJ
docstox12, rb924119 and weatherwatchermom like this post
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
Oy is right, sounds like less inversion? If that's the case then we should all be ready for all hell to break loose here. Did you see mugs post of GFS wind map, that's a extreme increase from previous which I believe had like 50-60 max. It looks more like a NAM run, in fact thats what I thought it was. Anyone have the 3km NAM map? does it match the GFS at all?rb924119 wrote:55 mph gust in northwestern PA……oyyy
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20593
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
docstox12 wrote:Holy crow, rb, not even a twig moving here yet.rb924119 wrote:55 mph gust in northwestern PA……oyyy
Yeah there’s just a slight breeze here too so far, nothing wild yet lol
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
jmanley32 wrote:Oy is right, sounds like less inversion? If that's the case then we should all be ready for all hell to break loose here. Did you see mugs post of GFS wind map, that's an extreme increase from previous which I believe had like 50-60 max. It looks more like a NAM run, in fact thats what I thought it was. Anyone have the 3km NAM map? does it match the GFS at all?rb924119 wrote:55 mph gust in northwestern PA……oyyy
Idk, I didn’t look at the situation out there when I did my analysis last night lol I can get the wind map for you.
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
Re: JAN 9th-10th Flooding Threat
I think is overdone for the coast, but I like how it enhances the gusts in the same areas that I have relative to areas around them lol
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 6995
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
Page 7 of 18 • 1 ... 6, 7, 8 ... 12 ... 18
Page 7 of 18
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
|
|