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01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible

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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:04 am

Looking good so far out to 57.

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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:05 am

Hour 63 almost closed over the NW. GFS did the same thing.

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Post by Joe Snow Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:05 am

I am Hanging........... Let us know.....

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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:07 am

66 hours, vort digging more.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:07 am

Lead energy is faster this run.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:09 am

Andddd SV just crashed apparently.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:11 am

Back up now. Out to 84 and just subtle changes compared to last run so far.
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:16 am

102 northern part trying to phase in.
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Post by Abba701 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:20 am

So what happened?

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Post by Joe Snow Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:25 am

01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible - Page 5 Ecmwf_12
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:27 am

Probably not going to be as good as 12z.

But, heavy snow at 129
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Post by Joe Snow Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:27 am

01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible - Page 5 Ecmwf_13
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Post by snow247 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:28 am

Looks like a nice coastal snowstorm while inland sucks cirrus.

But it's just one run.
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Post by Abba701 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:30 am

So,what does NYC get with this?

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:32 am

Big hit for NYC after all on the 0Z euro

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Post by Abba701 Mon Jan 18, 2016 1:32 am

I still think it's early

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Post by frank 638 Mon Jan 18, 2016 5:43 am

AccuWeather has me 3 to 6 inches of snow with a headline of major potential snow storm for Fri nite  till sat nite  I know it will change

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 5:59 am

Here is 00z EURO snow map 

01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible - Page 5 1-4.thumb.JPG.8c379fd330791d5e9b718d1341f68a04

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Post by frank 638 Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:11 am

Holy crap I love it

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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:21 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Here is 00z EURO snow map 

01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible - Page 5 1-4.thumb.JPG.8c379fd330791d5e9b718d1341f68a04
Impressive snowmap Frank. What's interesting to me is that the 0z Euro had the low in South Carolina which came up the coast sort of like 96. I wonder if the other models will trend that way in time.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:28 am

Here is 06z GFS snowman. Right now there are two evolutions shown on the models. Both evolutions give the area snow, so it is win win for us. But not for inland areas into PA. 

01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible - Page 5 Gfs_asnow_neus_41

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:30 am

6z GFS holds serve, depicts a bomb of a storm, 980, on the benchmark.
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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:31 am

The consistency among the "top 3" models that we are getting a massive storm is honestly BLOWING me away, pun intended.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:31 am

When comparing the OzGFS run vs the 6z run this morning, it looked like to me some of the heavier CCB bands expanded Northward. That would help some of our northern friends too.
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Post by SNOW MAN Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:33 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Here is 06z GFS snowman. Right now there are two evolutions shown on the models. Both evolutions give the area snow, so it is win win for us. But not for inland areas into PA. 

01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible - Page 5 Gfs_asnow_neus_41

Thanks Frank.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Mon Jan 18, 2016 6:39 am

SNOW MAN wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Here is 06z GFS snowman. Right now there are two evolutions shown on the models. Both evolutions give the area snow, so it is win win for us. But not for inland areas into PA. 

01/22/16-01/23/16 Update #1 - Historic Storm Possible - Page 5 Gfs_asnow_neus_41

Thanks Frank.
Yep confirms my thinking. Even SNE does great in this run. Wow what a map!!! It shows 2ft+ for most of NJ, and the scary part is that's without ratios!!!
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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 18, 2016 7:11 am

Each map shows something different for the coast does their look to be mixing issues
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