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01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off

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01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Empty Re: 01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off

Post by Quietace Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:18 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:FINALLY OVER lol

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Snowfall_total_accum_lwwratio_NECONUS_hr138

RB that map makes no sense for the NY area and Jersey/Li.  over 2" of QPF. mostly or all snow is 24"+
Verbatim GFS raises surface temps along the coast up into the mid 30s. All other levels stay cold enough as long as you are north of Toms River

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:18 pm

Hour 96 the Canadian has a surface low over OBX

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Post by chief7 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:18 pm

On the GFS when is it supposed to start

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:18 pm

FRANK THEN THEY CHANGE OVER AND EVERYONE REALLY CASHES IN WHEN THE CCB KICKS IN

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Gfs_T850_neus_21.thumb.png.39af4cb497a0ba241f67544ca4884705


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Post by NjWeatherGuy Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:18 pm

rb924119 wrote:This what; like 10 consecutive runs now? lol NJ, I totally agree ahahaha OUR TIME TO SHINE lmfao

Yep, had enough of DC people and people on the Delmarva about it being too warm for them on other forums. YOULL TAKE WHAT YOU GET AND LIKE IT...
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:19 pm

as frank said roidzilla, pay no attention to the snow maps, they not that gr8, it doesnt make sense less than 2o inches for me?
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:19 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:FINALLY OVER lol

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Snowfall_total_accum_lwwratio_NECONUS_hr138

RB that map makes no sense for the NY area and Jersey/Li.  over 2" of QPF. mostly or all snow is 24"+

This is why:

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_18

But don't worry about that stuff now. Besides, nobody on this board jackpots lol None of us live in Harrisburg haha

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:19 pm

I wouldn't pay attention to boundary layers right now. 850s and 925mb are supportive of snow.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:20 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:20 pm

Can someone help me answer back to someone on Twitter? He's arguing that rain gets to NYC during storm lol

"0c line is over the bronx.. 850 is rushing to SI .. That's a rain/sleet profile"
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Post by Quietace Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:21 pm

rb924119 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:
rb924119 wrote:FINALLY OVER lol

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Snowfall_total_accum_lwwratio_NECONUS_hr138

RB that map makes no sense for the NY area and Jersey/Li.  over 2" of QPF. mostly or all snow is 24"+

This is why:

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_18

But don't worry about that stuff now. Besides, nobody on this board jackpots lol None of us live in Harrisburg haha
Every level except the surface is supportive for frozen precip. Hard to imagine the surface will shoot up into the mid 30s after 6-10 inches falls and strong dynamics with cold enough Upper Levels
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Post by Quietace Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:22 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Can someone help me answer back to someone on Twitter? He's arguing that rain gets to NYC during storm lol

"0c line is over the bronx.. 850 is rushing to SI .. That's a rain/sleet profile"
False, 925/850 on Hi-Res maps doesnt get past TomsRiver
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:22 pm

There is no way it snows for 39 hrs and we dong all get at least 2 feet.
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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:22 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Can someone help me answer back to someone on Twitter? He's arguing that rain gets to NYC during storm lol

"0c line is over the bronx.. 850 is rushing to SI .. That's a rain/sleet profile"

Show him the maps Frank posted and I posted showing the 850's at -10c


Last edited by amugs on Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:23 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:22 pm

CMC out to 54 and ridge is already more amped....like the GFS

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:22 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Can someone help me answer back to someone on Twitter? He's arguing that rain gets to NYC during storm lol

"0c line is over the bronx.. 850 is rushing to SI .. That's a rain/sleet profile"

Show him this. It's the warmest 850s get

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Gfs_T850_neus_19

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Post by billg315 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:22 pm

Man, if you live in York County, PA you won't be able to open your door. Lol.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:23 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f99

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:24 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f102


01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f105



01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f108

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:24 pm

72

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 Gem_z500_vort_us_13

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Post by SoulSingMG Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:24 pm

Awesome. Thanks everyone! I have more than enough now to respond. :-)
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:25 pm

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f111


01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 7 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f114

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Post by amugs Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:26 pm

Dry slotted there 111-114

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:26 pm

The CMC looks a little...strange. Haha

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Post by Quietace Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:26 pm

GGEM is just as cold, and impressive. Some do see subsidence between banding though.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:27 pm

What do the wind gust look like for CMC?
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 18, 2016 11:27 pm

amugs wrote:Dry slotted  there 111-114

That's because of the dual CCB bands

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