Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call

by **hyde345** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:21 am

NjWeatherGuy wrote:
hyde345 wrote:Didn't see the CMC. Does any precip make it to HV or is there still a wall?

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

Thanks Tom.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:24 am

Gettin goin already?

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_us_loop-12.gif

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:41 am

NjWeatherGuy wrote:Gettin goin already?

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_us_loop-12.gif

Looking purrty. U can already tell it's gonna be a beast.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:44 am

Dang tgat swirl near Texas that's jonas?

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:48 am

Euro rolling

by **Joe Snow** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:52 am

any links to the euro?

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:53 am

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/ECMWF-php/showmap-ecmwf.php?run=2016012100®ion=USA&var=PRMSL_msl&hour=024

Digging

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 1:55 am

All these model sites are on the verge of crashing.... NCEP was useless tonight they have serious traffic issues...

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:04 am

00z euro

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 10 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f60

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:04 am

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:05 am

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:06 am

Guys I'm gonna do my best to explain but something big is happening on EURO: a double barrel low has formed off the mid Atlantic on this run like the NAM

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:06 am

Frank_Wx wrote:

Ugh thank GOD you're here

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:06 am

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:07 am

East...

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:07 am

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:07 am

I see 72

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:08 am

01/23/16 Storm Update #4 - A Tough 1st Call - Page 10 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f78

Very nice for Long Island.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:09 am

Crap. This doesn't look good. Low moving due east and weakening it seems.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:09 am

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:10 am

That wasnt what I wanted to see

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:10 am

The H5 low is closing off too quickly. Once it reaches our area it begins to elongate / weaken. We'll see what happens tonorrow.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:11 am

So still divergence between the models... typical

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:13 am

UPTON discusses Blizzard Watches for the area tomorrow in latest write-up. Maybe not after these lousy runs lol

by **NjWeatherGuy** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:14 am

This is going to be a terrible forecast to have to make... not seeing any consensus forming here...

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:16 am

As of now, the GFS, CMC, and EURO agree.

by **Joe Snow** Thu Jan 21, 2016 2:17 am

Same as last year, these big storms are not handled by the models that well. Uggg

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