Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

by **CPcantmeasuresnow** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:42 pm

jimv45 wrote:Cp I believed it was coming north but this is insane.

Well it hasn't yet, but we were both ready to throw in the towel this morning so, what the heck we're back in the game.

So much back and forth let's face it this will be a nowcast.

by **Math23x7** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:42 pm

Am I the only sober member on this forum right now? Laughing

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:43 pm

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 8 CZSqfMwWkAI1YQo

NAM points H5 heights north and has very strong PVA on east side of trough. H5 low also north of other guidance.

by mwilli5783 Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:43 pm

10 pm news i wanna see if the local mets adjusted the snow totals(nick greg 4 starters)

by **amugs** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:44 pm

GIDEE UP NOW COWBOYS AND GIRLS!!!

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:44 pm

Guess what... 0z RPM crushes us too.

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:44 pm

EPAWA:

"Oddly enough, NAM 00z solution is very plausible. SFC low is captured at hour 42 and causes it to stall/loop. That makes amounts plausible."

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:44 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Se' succede proprio cosi' devo andare al mercato per comprare Nutella, no Francesco?

So Frank. Should I go?????????

Very impressive Italian, actually. And yes you should probably leave now to get it.

by Snowfall Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:45 pm

by **amugs** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:45 pm

mwilli5783 wrote:10 pm news i wanna see if the local mets adjusted the snow totals(nick greg 4 starters)

NOT GOING TO HAPPEN UNTIL TOMORROW I WOULD SUSPECT THEY WANT GLOBALS TO HELP VERIFY

by **hyde345** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:46 pm

jimv45 wrote:Cp I believed it was coming north but this is insane.

Jim, the 12z Euro and 18z GFS give us nothing. The 18z and 00z Nam, and shrefs give us 1-2 ft. I seriously don't know what to believe.

by Biggin23 Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:46 pm

billg315 wrote:Frank,
I've been re-thinking my relationship with NAM. I know she's let me down in the past, she's cheated on me, and left me very disappointed. But I saw her this evening. She was gorgeous. Frank, she never looked better. I just wanted to grab her an hug her. I haven't wanted to hug a model like that in a while. And she seems sincere. I talked to her friends RAP and SREF and they say she's serious. Even GFS sort of thinks she might have turned over a new leaf. Euro still trashed her a bit, but he's been a little untrustworthy of late so I take him with a grain of salt. What do you think Frank? Should I get back together with NAM? Give it a shot?

You sir won the blog!!

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:46 pm

Dtone wrote:Will GFS have the additional data as well?

Yes

by **amugs** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:46 pm

GOD DANG HERE PEEPS 4K HI RES NAM SAYS HELLOO!!!!

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 8 NAM-HIRES_Radar_ne_f48

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:46 pm

snow247 wrote:Guess what... 0z RPM crushes us too.

Be careful - it uses a vey similar dynamical core the NAM and SREFs. RPM uses the WRF-ARW, NAM/SREFs use the WRF-NMM.

by **jmanley32** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:46 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:EPAWA:

"Oddly enough, NAM 00z solution is very plausible. SFC low is captured at hour 42 and causes it to stall/loop. That makes amounts plausible."

OMG, Frank worked for these guys so they have to be good cuz he is so good!

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:47 pm

Hearing the RGEM is very far north too so far!

by **SoulSingMG** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:47 pm

RPM is a crush job

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:47 pm

GFS will have hurricane hunter data in it!

by **billg315** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:47 pm

Biggin23 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Frank,
I've been re-thinking my relationship with NAM. I know she's let me down in the past, she's cheated on me, and left me very disappointed. But I saw her this evening. She was gorgeous. Frank, she never looked better. I just wanted to grab her an hug her. I haven't wanted to hug a model like that in a while. And she seems sincere. I talked to her friends RAP and SREF and they say she's serious. Even GFS sort of thinks she might have turned over a new leaf. Euro still trashed her a bit, but he's been a little untrustworthy of late so I take him with a grain of salt. What do you think Frank? Should I get back together with NAM? Give it a shot?

You sir won the blog!!

Haha, thanks Smile

by **amugs** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:48 pm

hyde345 wrote:
jimv45 wrote:Cp I believed it was coming north but this is insane.

Jim, the 12z Euro and 18z GFS give us nothing. The 18z and 00z Nam, and shrefs give us 1-2 ft. I seriously don't know what to believe.

HYDE - CHILL BROTHER - WE WILL KNOW MORE BY OZ EURO RUNS TOO.

by mwilli5783 Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:48 pm

your right amug i guess they dont wanna scare the public..wait 4 tomorrow

by Guest Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:49 pm

My 12 year old son is sitting next to me smiling from ear to ear. he say's "dad calm down. you know this won't happen. Relax" He's 12 I'm 43. Shouldn't it be the other way around?

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:49 pm

devsman wrote:Please anyone...start time? My friend needs to know...just for this model?

Start and end time is found on my snow map next to the accumulations.

billg315 wrote:Frank,
I've been re-thinking my relationship with NAM. I know she's let me down in the past, she's cheated on me, and left me very disappointed. But I saw her this evening. She was gorgeous. Frank, she never looked better. I just wanted to grab her an hug her. I haven't wanted to hug a model like that in a while. And she seems sincere. I talked to her friends RAP and SREF and they say she's serious. Even GFS sort of thinks she might have turned over a new leaf. Euro still trashed her a bit, but he's been a little untrustworthy of late so I take him with a grain of salt. What do you think Frank? Should I get back together with NAM? Give it a shot?

This is fantastic.

And no, she will still cheat on you. I know from experience.

Math23x7 wrote:Am I the only sober member on this forum right now?

Yes.

by **amugs** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:49 pm

4K NAM THROUGH 54 - BRINGING BACK THE BIAG ABABY!!!

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 8 NAM-HIRES_QPFtotal_ne_f54

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:50 pm

Man, I wonder if this time tomorrow night I have to put NJ Strong under a Roidzilla Storm Mode...

by **snow247** Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:50 pm

RGEM is about 30-45 miles north of the 18z run through 25

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