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01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

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01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:34 pm

TWC FWIW HAS ME FOR 9-15 INCHES (big increase) AND WIND GUSTING SOMETIMES OVER 50MPH.  DO NOT CARE IF THEY ISSUE BLIZZARD WARNING THATS A BLIZZARD IN MY BOOK!

Accuwx is similar.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:35 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by deadrabbit79 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:34 pm

Grselig wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:Frank if I give you my address can you tell me how many inches i will get in my backyard?

Bro, be careful. He may send a team of highly trained assassins.

I guess nobody has a sense of humor or can sense sarcasm

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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:35 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:After reading and seeing these models runs in starting to think Cnj snj are going to see Alot more snow. I'm hearing 28-20ft waves with 2-4get tidal surge some say more

I just heard on Radio that Barnaget might have a 4 foot surge
Not good hearing 16-20 ft waves
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Post by Grselig Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:35 pm

RJB8525 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Where is my darn blizzard warning as also NNJ! Its obvious we will hjave the wind and snow to make the criteria, what are they waiting for the 18z or the actual event lol, who knows maybe they won't issue it but I have a sneaking suspicion they will include quite a few more areas as this baby comes in.

I feel the same grief lol


same feeling. They reduced my amount this AM and no new warnings. I think they may post at 3:30 in the afternoon.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:36 pm

This is what I'm telling folks here in Bergen County, since we are on the border AGAIN!

The best way to describe snow projections for our area is with a quote from Field of Dreams...
"Shoeless Joe Jackson: He's not gonna wanna load the bases, so look low and away.
Archie Graham: Right.
Shoeless Joe Jackson: But watch out for in your ear."

_________________
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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:36 pm

Grselig wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Where is my darn blizzard warning as also NNJ! Its obvious we will hjave the wind and snow to make the criteria, what are they waiting for the 18z or the actual event lol, who knows maybe they won't issue it but I have a sneaking suspicion they will include quite a few more areas as this baby comes in.

I feel the same grief lol


same feeling.  They reduced my amount this AM and no new warnings.  I think they may post at 3:30 in the afternoon.

what makes u think that time? I think it will be after the 18z, I think they want one more GFS jog, just a hunch.
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01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 Empty Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

Post by amugs Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:36 pm

GIVE ME A S
GIVE ME A R
GIVE ME A E
GIVE ME A F
GIVE ME A S
WHATS THAT SPELL :

SREFSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS



01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 SREF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f21

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01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 SREF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f27

DA CRUSHER !!!!!!
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01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 SREF_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f45


Last edited by amugs on Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:37 pm; edited 1 time in total

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dtone Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:37 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:OMG: Mayor of NYC is on now and is announcing 12-18 inch snows for the city per the NWS update he received! 


The NAM IN FOR THE WIN

Does this include southern WC? Still have me in 8-12 on NWS snow map, they did not update that for NYC either since 12:40pm.

NWS hasn't updated. DeBlasio must have inside info.
For what its worth TWC is solidly on the 12" - 18" range for NYC. Not just scraping southern sections of the 5 boros like they had this morning. Its solidly through NYC, LI & into southern Westchester

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:37 pm

Cyanide02Z06 wrote:

that ship has sailed..stores are empty...lol
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Post by Guest Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:38 pm

Great job Frank on the Newsletter! Everyone chill out about IMBY questions, Warnings this blizzard that. Go home, light a fire if you have one have some adult beverages and enjoy the day with your family tomorrow watching the white gold. I just wish Doc, CP (especially after what he's been through) and other N/W members can join in as well! 1 foot+ for most members of the board is a GREAT STORM!!!!!!!! here's to the n and w folks!

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Post by amugs Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:38 pm

MADONMNMNNNNEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE


01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 SREFNE24Precip15039


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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:38 pm

Lmao mugs
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Post by Grselig Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:39 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Grselig wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Where is my darn blizzard warning as also NNJ! Its obvious we will hjave the wind and snow to make the criteria, what are they waiting for the 18z or the actual event lol, who knows maybe they won't issue it but I have a sneaking suspicion they will include quite a few more areas as this baby comes in.

I feel the same grief lol


same feeling.  They reduced my amount this AM and no new warnings.  I think they may post at 3:30 in the afternoon.

what makes u think that time?  I think it will be after the 18z, I think they want one more GFS jog, just a hunch.

nothing in particular, except that if updates come on the warning, they happen between 3:30 to 4 from my recollections. its been over a year since we had one
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Post by Guest Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:40 pm

........by the way milky white cloudy skies, breezy 29 degrees low dew point. Feels like snow. WITH THE EARLIER START TIME AND THE TEMPS BEING ABOUT 5 DEGREES COLDER THAN FORECAST I THINK WE SEE 13:1 RATIOS OVERNIGHT!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by Grselig Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:41 pm

TWC now has me for 8-12. Its not 24, but a foot, 10 days ago, when winter was declared dead, would have been a massive win.
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:42 pm

Dtone is right, pretty much no official updates have come from NWS for upton and mt holly. All the minds are meeting as we speak
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Post by amugs Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:43 pm

syosnow94 wrote:Great job Frank on the Newsletter!  Everyone chill out about IMBY questions, Warnings this blizzard that.  Go home, light a fire if you have one have some adult beverages and enjoy the day with your family tomorrow watching the white gold.  I just wish Doc, CP (especially after what he's been through) and other N/W members can join in as well! 1 foot+ for most members of the board is a GREAT STORM!!!!!!!!  here's to the n and w folks!

COMING FROM THE MAN WHO.......................

GOOD ADVICE PEEPS FROM SYO, IT IS A GREAT STORM AND IO FIRMLY BELIEVE THE TRENDS KEEP GOING AS WE SEE FOR THE SREFS AND OTHER MESOSCALE MODELS - DON'T DISCOUNT THEM - THE NAMMER FOR THE WINNER SUCKERS!!!!!

SREF PLUMES - SICK JUST SICK

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 56a284af53b03_1-22-20162-35-47PM.thumb.png.5041842ee7556e2dc8019130b016af1d


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Post by amugs Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:44 pm

NAM ROLLING HE SHOULD HOLD - TIGHTEN UP THE GRADIENT ON THE NW SIDE IS MY CALL

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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:50 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:After reading and seeing these models runs in starting to think Cnj snj are going to see Alot more snow. I'm hearing 28-20ft waves with 2-4get tidal surge some say more

I just heard on Radio that Barnaget might have a 4 foot surge
Not good hearing 16-20 ft waves

you take care...out there plowing this weekend!!
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Post by nutleyblizzard Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:50 pm

Now that we have a "godzilla" on our hands, let's see if we can up the ante to "roidzilla" status. The NAM and SREFS show it, and the 12z CMC came awfully close to pulling it off. Very interested in the 18Z suite when it comes out. Let the north trend continue!!!
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:54 pm

amugs wrote:

MADONMNMNNNNEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE





01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 SREFNE24Precip15039


Woweeee!!!

syo ur right, I got some good stuff for tonight : )
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:57 pm

Wow Euro ensembles and control!!!
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:58 pm

NAM did not step any trend. Do not post false information.

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:59 pm

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 Euro_s11
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:59 pm

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 Euro_s12
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 3:00 pm

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 35 Euro_c10
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Post by snow247 Fri Jan 22, 2016 3:00 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:NAM did not step any trend. Do not post false information.

Sorry about that, was getting the info from the other board
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