Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:57 pm

OMG: Mayor of NYC is on now and is announcing 12-18 inch snows for the city per the NWS update he received!

The NAM IN FOR THE WIN

by **RJB8525** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:58 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:OMG: Mayor of NYC is on now and is announcing 12-18 inch snows for the city per the NWS update he received!

The NAM IN FOR THE WIN

Yup TWC also put them in the 12-18 themselves

by **Dtone** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:59 pm

RJB8525 wrote:
Joe Snow wrote:

Just saw this Frank, contact the legal department

LMAO I like the make winter better again

LOL. I like it.
Snowzilla for prez. Make a campaign stop here.

by **bloc1357** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:00 pm

Just got back from Vacay in the DR yesterday.....Great way to start off winter coming back to a good storm!!!!

by gigs68 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:02 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I just put out this newsletter. If your account is setup to receive newsletters you should get it in your email shortly.

Hi everyone,

A powerful Godzilla storm is going to track up the coast late tonight through tomorrow. The enhanced Sub-Tropical Jet Stream from El Nino, warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico, and warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean will fuel this storm to bring insane snow amounts to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

At this time I am thinking the NYC Metro area will receive between 12-18 inches of snow. Central and southern NJ are in line to see a 15-24" snowfall. Since this will be a long duration storm, if banding sets up over a particular area there could be isolated snow amounts near 20." A final call snow map will be posted on the website around 6pm today.

Start time will be between Midnight and 1am. The further south you are the earlier the start time. Do not be surprised to see snow showers break out as early as 10pm. End time will be between 10pm and Midnight on Saturday night. The brunt of the storm - when 2" per hour snow rates and blizzard-like conditions are possible, will come between 1pm-6pm Saturday.

Winds will be sustained in the 25-35mph range with gusts as high as 50mph possible. The Shore points could see gusts approach 70mph. Please be prepared for a potential power outage.

Thank you for following NJ Strong Wx Forum. Have fun and stay safe!!

Best,

Frank

www.njstrongweatherforum.com

Great write up Frank. I never received the email and I am signed up to receive it.

by **Joe Snow** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:04 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif

BRING IT!!!!

by **jake732** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:05 pm

Frank what about the coast of nj?? Ocean county?

by Cyanide02Z06 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:09 pm

by snowlover 12345 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:10 pm

Frank, which model run looked like what the radar shows now?

by Cyanide02Z06 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:10 pm

by **Joe Snow** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:15 pm

This storm is picking up moisture deeeeeeepp from the gulf, Nicaragua, Cuba, wow

by **lglickman1** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:22 pm

clouds are rolling in now for a few hours, getting ready for the big show!

by Biggin23 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:25 pm

Dan Zarrow 20 inches for 195 corridor

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:26 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:OMG: Mayor of NYC is on now and is announcing 12-18 inch snows for the city per the NWS update he received!

The NAM IN FOR THE WIN

Does this include southern WC? Still have me in 8-12 on NWS snow map, they did not update that for NYC either since 12:40pm.

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:26 pm

jake732 wrote:Frank what about the coast of nj?? Ocean county?

Calling for 15 to 20 inches with locally higher anounts

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:27 pm

Biggin23 wrote:Dan Zarrow 20 inches for 195 corridor

Whomever that is I like him : ) Look at all the worry we had and justly so by the models but goes to show you just never know! Very exciting night and day coming in!

by Mac003 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:27 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I just put out this newsletter. If your account is setup to receive newsletters you should get it in your email shortly.

Hi everyone,

A powerful Godzilla storm is going to track up the coast late tonight through tomorrow. The enhanced Sub-Tropical Jet Stream from El Nino, warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico, and warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean will fuel this storm to bring insane snow amounts to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

At this time I am thinking the NYC Metro area will receive between 12-18 inches of snow. Central and southern NJ are in line to see a 15-24" snowfall. Since this will be a long duration storm, if banding sets up over a particular area there could be isolated snow amounts near 20." A final call snow map will be posted on the website around 6pm today.

Start time will be between Midnight and 1am. The further south you are the earlier the start time. Do not be surprised to see snow showers break out as early as 10pm. End time will be between 10pm and Midnight on Saturday night. The brunt of the storm - when 2" per hour snow rates and blizzard-like conditions are possible, will come between 1pm-6pm Saturday.

Winds will be sustained in the 25-35mph range with gusts as high as 50mph possible. The Shore points could see gusts approach 70mph. Please be prepared for a potential power outage.

Thank you for following NJ Strong Wx Forum. Have fun and stay safe!!

Best,

Frank

www.njstrongweatherforum.com

Frank - Thanks for this - very helpful and encouraging. Just note that I am set to receive newsletters but did not receive this in my inbox.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:28 pm

Cyanide02Z06 wrote:

This guy is hilarious, check out his video on this past years hurricane Erica, a bit racist but funny as hell. Sorry this should be in banter.

by deadrabbit79 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:28 pm

Frank if I give you my address can you tell me how many inches i will get in my backyard?

by **Grselig** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:29 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:Frank if I give you my address can you tell me how many inches i will get in my backyard?

Bro, be careful. He may send a team of highly trained assassins.

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:30 pm

Where is my darn blizzard warning as also NNJ! Its obvious we will hjave the wind and snow to make the criteria, what are they waiting for the 18z or the actual event lol, who knows maybe they won't issue it but I have a sneaking suspicion they will include quite a few more areas as this baby comes in.

by **weatherwatchermom** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:31 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:After reading and seeing these models runs in starting to think Cnj snj are going to see Alot more snow. I'm hearing 28-20ft waves with 2-4get tidal surge some say more

I just heard on Radio that Barnaget might have a 4 foot surge

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:31 pm

Grselig wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:Frank if I give you my address can you tell me how many inches i will get in my backyard?

Bro, be careful. He may send a team of highly trained assassins.

LOL ya no IMBY questions big no no lol

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:32 pm

I just noticed my winter storm warning has not been updated since 6am, so I guess they are waiting till last minute to make decisions on final call.

by **RJB8525** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:33 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Where is my darn blizzard warning as also NNJ! Its obvious we will hjave the wind and snow to make the criteria, what are they waiting for the 18z or the actual event lol, who knows maybe they won't issue it but I have a sneaking suspicion they will include quite a few more areas as this baby comes in.

I feel the same grief lol

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:34 pm

TWC FWIW HAS ME FOR 9-15 INCHES (big increase) AND WIND GUSTING SOMETIMES OVER 50MPH. DO NOT CARE IF THEY ISSUE BLIZZARD WARNING THATS A BLIZZARD IN MY BOOK!

Accuwx is similar.

by deadrabbit79 Fri Jan 22, 2016 2:34 pm

Grselig wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:Frank if I give you my address can you tell me how many inches i will get in my backyard?

Bro, be careful. He may send a team of highly trained assassins.

I guess nobody has a sense of humor or can sense sarcasm

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