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January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations

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Post by WeatherBob Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:00 am

Wheres Frank?

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Post by rb924119 Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:00 am

Getting shafted up here. Been snowing since 1am and I have 1.25-1.5" lol

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Post by Radz Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:01 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-79.82,35.49,676/loc=-74.453,40.888

love looking at this

Memorizing! cyclops
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Post by SkiSeadooJoe Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:01 am

Over o foot here with two foot drifts. Temp at 31.8. Power has been flickering on and off in the last half hour. Still a long way to go.
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Post by dgallag Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:01 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Lee Goldberg...just said that the Model not a model might end up being correct...some places NNJ could see up to 30 inches when all said and done...

Hi, New member here. I just watched Lee Goldberg as well. He mentioned the sweet spot could be the Morristown area. That's me. This is getting real!
With that said I wanted to thank everyone on this forum. I have been reading all week and you guys are great at what you do. This will be my goto for weather moving forward. Enjoy the storm everyone!

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Post by nutleyblizzard Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:03 am

Just measured 6 inches. Snow is light and fluffy. Good ratios. I feel if I don't dry slot, 2 feet is definitely attainable. cheers
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Post by Radz Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:03 am

MESMERIZING! lol hate auto correct!
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:04 am

With the highest accumulations expected from CNJ to NNJ and NYC, that means the majority of our members are in line to be in the jackpot 

https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/h4-member-map

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Post by sroc4 Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:05 am

Surface:

[img]January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 Surfac10[/img]

500MB

[img]January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 500mb_13[/img]

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"   WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.00
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by devsman Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:05 am

South nassau, LI. Drifts are insane. Can barely open my front door but my back door, I can see pavement. Wont even bother measuring.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:06 am

Frank_Wx wrote:With the highest accumulations expected from CNJ to NNJ and NYC, that means the majority of our members are in line to be in the jackpot 


https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/h4-member-map

And to think I was in the cutoff area earlier!

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by algae888 Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:07 am

hello all what a band sitting over southern Westchester. woke up at 4 had about an inch now have at least 6" eyeballing it . WOW and the best still to come
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:07 am

This is what Mt Holly said about the dry slot


Mt Holly disco
 
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
630 AM UPDATE...A POTENT STORM JUST EAST OF THE VIRGINIA COAST
CONTINUES TO DEEPEN. IMPRESSIVE INFLOW AS NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS TO
55 TO 65 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY COAST. THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR AWHILE AS
MOMENTUM TRANSFER IS MAXIMIZED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE DEEPENING
STORM. A [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=DRY SLOT]DRY SLOT[/url] IS WORKING NORTHWARD, WHICH MAY HAVE INITIALLY
BEEN PART OF AN AREA OF GRAVITY WAVES
THAT NEARED THE DELAWARE TO
SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY COASTS. THIS IS ALSO WITH THE MID LEVEL
[url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=DRY SLOT]DRY SLOT[/url] MOVING UP FROM THE [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=CLOSED LOW]CLOSED LOW[/url]. THIS IS HELPING TO ADD
SOME INSTABILITY AND SOME LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED IN
MARYLAND, ALTHOUGH THESE HAVE BEEN SPORADIC. THE [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=LARGE SCALE]LARGE SCALE[/url] LIFT
IS PIVOTING AROUND, THEREFORE THE [url=http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=DRY SLOT]DRY SLOT[/url] SHOULD TEND TO FILL IN.

SOME TWEAKS WERE MADE TO THE GRIDS TO KEEP UP WITH THE TRENDS,
OTHERWISE SNOW AMOUNTS REMAIN UNCHANGED ATTM.

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Post by bloc1357 Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:08 am

Frank_Wx wrote:With the highest accumulations expected from CNJ to NNJ and NYC, that means the majority of our members are in line to be in the jackpot 

https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/h4-member-map


I think Long Island gets in on the Jackpot numbers as well....The bands just keep pouring snow over the Island

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Post by billg315 Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:08 am

24* and heavy snow continues. I would measure but frankly I'm too damn comfortable inside right now. Lol. But I can say this, they've been plowing the streets here regularly and since the last plow went through it looks like another 2 or 3" have accumulated on the road.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:09 am

Latest HRRR

January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 Hrrr_2016012311_ref_ma.thumb.gif.bcb8350bfc1205a9798d08b3e7729797

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:11 am

sroc4 wrote:Surface:

January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 <a href=January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 Surfac10" />

500MB

January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 <a href=January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 500mb_13" />

Love

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:12 am

January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 RAD_MOS_STATE_NY_N0R_ANI1.thumb.gif.ea08de10bcec96e461fb5ecb3ad03152

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Post by Guest Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:13 am

Pouring down snow here on LI. Unbelievable. Winds gusting to near 40? 2"+ per hour in this band and it looks to be a crazy next several hours when I look at what is coming in off the ocean. Should/could see 6-8" just in the next 3 to 4 hours if these returns hold together.!!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:19 am

Having trouble posting pic(prob because tech challenged)..will have hub post for me later...it is
BAD out there..the drifts in the middle of the street were about 2 feet.. a gust of wind almost knocked me over..no plows yet.. I measured around the yard in spots protected by wind..not sure if that is correct way..prob about 8 inches right now..wind whipping and it hurts..
26* real feel 14 winds 32mph wonder what the gusts are??
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Post by WeatherBob Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:21 am

This is def a high ratio event up ion NNJ. I had 2 in on the ground at 4:30 am. Now have 8 to 10 in , getting tough to measure with the wind, some drifts like to 1.5 to 2 feet.
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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:24 am

Left Dutchess county at 5 this morning. No snow. Starting flurrying as I headed south. Light snow just started in Northern Westchester around 6. A Dusting as of now. Most snow i have seen all year. Jind of sad.

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:27 am

central park just confirmed 6 inches of snow
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Post by sroc4 Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:27 am

Omg if that band makes it into Suffolk county we will see 2-4" an hr and thundersnow. Lightning is in he band. 40-45dbz!!!! Please please PLEASE!!
January 23, 2016 Roidzilla Observations  - Page 12 Image20


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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"   WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.00
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by amugs Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:30 am

Morning ya'll!!
We'll ain't she just beautiful well he Jonas! !
I have about 4" so far and it is snowing like the f--k end out and even heavier stuff to come.
Enjoy it all take pictures, video. These are rare events so embrace it.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:30 am

The Conservancy measured 6 inches as of 8 am. I can't comment on the accuracy yet but just the fact they reported this early in a storm is encouraging, you would never ever get that from the zookeeper. Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
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Post by 2004blackwrx Sat Jan 23, 2016 8:31 am

Does any one have images of current upper level wind patterns or of something showing why the northern cutoff is where it is.

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