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*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations

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Post by docstox12 Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:40 am

Frank_Wx wrote:Here's what the NWS just said:

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
720 am: We are holding warnings as is for now though probably
downgrading blizzard in monmouth.

Just had 49 kt se wind gust from wxflow near Wallops Island
around 650A.

Tremendous fluxes developing right now as the storm will begin
realizing its excessive potential both in terms of wind,
probably coastal flooding and a band 3"/hr snowfall rates as a
band of seems to be developing fm vcnty chesapeake bay which
will extend north through Reading up to MPO by Noon.

Will not surprise to see northward sleet mix collapse sewd twd
I-95 next 3 hours as the abv freezing layer near 850MB cools,
partly by excessive uvm.

remainder below from 630 am...

Major coastal storm will continue to track northeast along the mid-
Atlantic coast today. The 00Z models trended further west with the
track, and this is also verifying per WPC/MSAS analysis. Surface
observations coupled with 88D`s indicate the changeover line moving
north into the I-95 corridor, with snow changing to sleet in Philly
as of 07Z. This line is expected to straddle the NJ Turnpike/I-95
corridor through late morning, then move east into the afternoon.
This will lead to quite a variability in snowfall across our region,
with a sharp gradient in the vicinity of the NJ Turnpike/I-95. Our
latest forecast has reduced snowfall amounts south and east of here,
generally by 1-3 inches, with little change to the north and west.
As a result, we have converted the Winter Storm Warning to a Winter
Weather Advisory for portions of southern NJ/Delmarva. The Blizzard
Warning remains in effect for portions of eastern PA and northern
NJ, where a very high impact event is unfolding. Further east along
the Atlantic oceanfront, the High Wind Warning remains posted. The
snow will gradually taper down south to north late this afternoon
and into this evening.

Thank you, Frank, for the latest update.Looks like I 95 is the line of defense for mix-snow.

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Post by jimv45 Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:41 am

Doc the heavy bands will rotate in no worries its the sleet that has me concerned but still think a good 18 to high end 24 if all goes well right now 23 around 9 in Hopewell.

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:42 am

Amazing how often it is that I-95/Turnpike is the dividing line.
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Post by aiannone Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:43 am

NENJ turning back to snow

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Post by Scullybutcher Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:44 am

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 24 Image10

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Post by SNOW MAN Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:46 am

ALL I CAN SAY IS WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO WHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:46 am

DAYBLAZER wrote:Hey Frank-- I know the mixing has moved a bit more north than originally thought, but A) do you put faith behind the above statement that it will trend southward in the coming hours and B) is there any potential to see mixing even in interior NNJ at this point? I'm about 1000 ft up here in Sussex and I just cant picture any mixing when it's 21 degrees here haha. Hope you're doing well!

I do because winds should shift, but at the same time, the tracks of the 850/700mb low leaves me pessimistic this morning. No doubt my snow map is likely to bust from central/eastern NJ, NYC, LI. But who knows, we'll see. I think you are fine. No need to worry for a mix.


aiannone wrote:NENJ turning back to snow

Yea I am 75/25 snow/sleet

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Post by Smarnold Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:46 am

It is mixing back and forth with the snow and sleet right now but coming down hard.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:46 am

billg315 wrote:Amazing how often it is that I-95/Turnpike is the dividing line.

Yes if they only constructed I95 20 miles to the east so many more would have snow, Very Happy Very Happy
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Post by Sparky Sparticles Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:47 am

Uh, fellas? I just looked out my window again and it looked like nothing is happening - no rain, sleet or snow is falling from the sky, but when I opened the windows to make sure, then I could see some very fine snow coming down.

People are already outside shoveling sidewalks, dogs are getting walked, and cars are going in and out like it's a regular day.

The WeatherUnderground web site seems to think this is it, now showing <1" snow predicted for the rest of the day. Is this supposed to pick up, or could this really be it for the rest of the day here by Jersey City?
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:49 am

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 24 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:49 am

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
billg315 wrote:Amazing how often it is that I-95/Turnpike is the dividing line.

Yes if they only constructed I95 20 miles to the east so many more would have snow, Very Happy Very Happy

Hahaha! I curse them for that!!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:49 am

wow..dogs woke me up at 7 to take them out..measured 4.25  inches of snow..went back to bed and 10 minutes ago it started pouring sleet!!! will this continue or will it turn to rain next??? also no real wind...will we be getting some??

ps..Frank you said to ask questions...I love to ask questions...


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Tue Mar 14, 2017 8:10 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:50 am

Heavy snow in Cranford, NJ

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:51 am

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:53 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:wow..dogs woke me up at 7 to take them out..measured 3.25  inches of snow..went back to bed and 10 minutes ago it started pouring sleet!!! will this continue or will it turn to rain next??? also no real wind...will we be getting some??

ps..Frank you said to ask questions...I love to ask questions...

Unfortunately I think you'll be in a sleet/rain battle most of the day with maybe a changeover to snow at the end. Some areas will bust badly. I rather wait to the end because ya never know...

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Post by Guest Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:53 am

Just shy of 8AM and the grass still isn't completely covered. It's going to have to snow for a long time to end up with 12" at this rate.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:53 am

Wow, it is BLITZING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by SNOW MAN Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:54 am

I have a question. Is there a chance that this could change to sleet/mix even in my area ?
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Post by bloc1357 Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:54 am

was raining on south shore of LI...now back to heavy sleet....few snow flakes mixed in

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:55 am

SNOW MAN wrote:I have a question. Is there a chance that this could change to sleet/mix even in my area ?

No

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Post by billg315 Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:55 am

WOAH. Just went back to ALL snow here in Somerville. Huge flakes. And it is coming down.
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Post by Scullybutcher Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:55 am

The winds are starting to pick up here. Heavy sleet. 32*
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:56 am

Frank_Wx wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:wow..dogs woke me up at 7 to take them out..measured 3.25  inches of snow..went back to bed and 10 minutes ago it started pouring sleet!!! will this continue or will it turn to rain next??? also no real wind...will we be getting some??

ps..Frank you said to ask questions...I love to ask questions...

Unfortunately I think you'll be in a sleet/rain battle most of the day with maybe a changeover to snow at the end. Some areas will bust badly. I rather wait to the end because ya never know...

thank you just curious...I am just  worried about the sleeting..on lines..it is what it is..can I ask again..will the wind pick up..because that will make for some power problems....

I feel asleep on page 16 I am starting to go back and see what i missed so if this was asked sorry


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Post by DAYBLAZER Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:56 am

Frank_Wx wrote:*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 24 Inxr1Kphla_h

WOW look at those bands setting up! Looks like they are set to move straight North. Don't these storms typically send bands East to West? Looks like this one wants to shoot right up the parkway.

My winds up here in Hopatcong are beginning to increase noticeably in the last 10 minutes and snowfall is picking up.

Looks like we are up to about 10-11 inches but haven't been outside for a measurement though. Sure is picking up with heavy blowing snow as I type.

Once I get some Irish Coffee in me I will step out and get a measurement.
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Post by snow247 Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:57 am

Impatiently waiting for the heavier bands to get up to here. Currently moderate snow and roughly 6"-7" otg.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Mar 14, 2017 7:59 am

WOWWWW flakes are so huge each flake is like .25" of snow. May get 600 inches of snow at this point. Bust!

*Roidzilla 2017* - Final Call Snow Map / Observations - Page 24 Cc.PNG.a72cb3f368fc7f4d4b92d9e91cda5cec

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