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January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

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Post by billg315 Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:45 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Can someone tell me are heavy bands heading toward Sandy hook area..just curious which is best radar to use
It looks like heavier bands are coming in there already:
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Post by Scullybutcher Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:46 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Can someone tell me are heavy bands heading toward Sandy hook area..just curious which is best radar to use

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Post by oldtimer Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:46 am

OMG Its ought it would never get going Its really getting Blizzard like The wind gotten so strong eyeballing at least 2 plus inches 24* Alex Gee what are the ratios??

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Post by Guest Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:50 am

oldtimer wrote:OMG Its ought it would never get going   Its really getting Blizzard like  The wind gotten so strong  eyeballing at least 2 plus inches 24*  Alex  Gee what are the ratios??

Old timer I’m in Syosset.  Ratios gotta be high.  It’s 25 and dropping. Very powdery snow.  I went from 1” ar 4 am to easy 5” now. It’s sick outside. bananadude party savior party

And look what’s coming in off the ocean. 8 more hours of this and the 3k NAM will verify

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Post by dkodgis Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:53 am

Just started here. About 30 min ago. Coming down harder than I expected!
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Post by Quietace Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:53 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:6 inches here epic
Wow skin's so amazing....
My official measurement was 6.5" I sent into NWS.
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Post by RJB8525 Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:54 am

Damn I was hoping for a WSW instead of advisory when I woke up guess no major changes
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Post by bloc1357 Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:55 am

syosnow94 wrote:
oldtimer wrote:OMG Its ought it would never get going   Its really getting Blizzard like  The wind gotten so strong  eyeballing at least 2 plus inches 24*  Alex  Gee what are the ratios??

Old timer I’m in Syosset.  Ratios gotta be high.  It’s 25 and dropping. Very powdery snow.  I went from 1” ar 4 am to easy 5” now. It’s sick outside. bananadude party savior party

And look what’s coming in off the ocean.  8 more hours of this and the 3k NAM will verify

its crazy now....that band/mass off the ocean is going to be crazy and last awhile

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Post by oldtimer Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:55 am

Syo Great I get a kick out your posts Wow unbelievable here now that it getting light

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Post by Quietace Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:57 am

That band coming in is going to have some serious rates.
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Post by mmanisca Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:59 am

aiannone wrote:
[ltr]Mesoscale Discussion 0005[/ltr]


[ltr] NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK[/ltr]


[ltr] 0506 AM CST Thu Jan 04 2018[/ltr]




[ltr] Areas affected...From eastern New Jersey and Delaware into southern New England[/ltr]




[ltr] Concerning...Heavy snow [/ltr]




[ltr] Valid 041106Z - 041700Z[/ltr]




[ltr] SUMMARY...Snow rates will increase in intensity through midday, with max rates to 3"/hr into southern New England after about 10am local time.[/ltr]




[ltr] DISCUSSION...Precipitation continues to increase offshore as the surface low rapidly deepens. The heaviest snow bands were affecting eastern New Jersey as of 10Z but heavy snow was rapidly developing across Long Island. The zone of strongest frontogenetical forcing will lift northward and strengthen through late morning, likely resulting in an intense, pivoting band of heavy snow capable of 2-3"/hr rates from central Long Island to Red Sox Suck. The rain/snow line will remain nearly stationary near or just west of Cape Cod.[/ltr]

Alex, get a load of the big stuff coming in from the South East on our wonderful Island!!
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Post by rb924119 Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:02 am

Best part is H5 closed off just offshore of Hatteras and is intensifying, which means it should continue to draw our lower-level circulations and associated forcings northward and somewhat westward. Check the regional radar and you can see our center is still moving due north......WELL INSIDE THE BENCHMARK. Along and east of I-95 you guys (and gals) reap the rewards, though, since this system is so deep lol My guess - that mega band rotating in from offshore gets very near or into NYC proper. Amazing.

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Post by Taffy Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:06 am

23 degrees. Feels like -3. Winds steady at 28 MPH. Snow still coming in sideways. It's hard to measure snow amounts due to wind and drifting. I got .07 but that is not reliable.
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Post by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:06 am

6" in barnegat, still hard to tell with blowing/drifting. Sideways snow. Wicked winds. I work just outside of Atlantic City. That would have been one crazy 30 mile drive down the GDP.

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Post by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:07 am

Gsp. Garden state parkway.


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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:08 am

Quietace wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:6 inches here epic
Wow skin's so amazing....
My official measurement was 6.5" I sent into NWS.

Ace we are going to over perform?
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Post by Quietace Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:10 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
Quietace wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:6 inches here epic
Wow skin's so amazing....
My official measurement was 6.5" I sent into NWS.

Ace we are going to over perform?
I have always though over a foot here. However, that band coming through will be 3-4'' a hour.....sooooo
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Post by Guest Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:11 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:
Quietace wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
skinsfan1177 wrote:6 inches here epic
Wow skin's so amazing....
My official measurement was 6.5" I sent into NWS.

Ace we are going to over perform?

Skins reading Ace’s posts the last 24 hours it was obvious to me he thought we would all be over a foot on the coast. Shoot I might be there by 11:00 am if this band holds together.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:12 am

Windy, moderate snow, Sleep Sleep Sleep
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:12 am

The worst of the storm for eastern NJ, NYC, and LI is between 10am-2pm. As rb mentioned H5 already closed off. Expect rapid intensification and prolific snow rates later today. Some places will easily surpass 15 inches of snow (highest mark on my snow map). I can see someone getting 18 inches.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:16 am

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 15 Mcd0005

Mesoscale Discussion 0005
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0506 AM CST Thu Jan 04 2018

Areas affected...From eastern New Jersey and Delaware into southern
New England

Concerning...Heavy snow

Valid 041106Z - 041700Z

SUMMARY...Snow rates will increase in intensity through midday, with
max rates to 3"/hr into southern New England after about 10am local
time.

DISCUSSION...Precipitation continues to increase offshore as the
surface low rapidly deepens. The heaviest snow bands were affecting
eastern New Jersey as of 10Z but heavy snow was rapidly developing
across Long Island. The zone of strongest frontogenetical forcing
will lift northward and strengthen through late morning, likely
resulting in an intense, pivoting band of heavy snow capable of
2-3"/hr rates from central Long Island to Red Sox Suck. The rain/snow line
will remain nearly stationary near or just west of Cape Cod.

..Jewell.. 01/04/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...

LAT...LON 42887151 42987103 42957070 42537057 41857072 41127150
40657230 40287298 40027335 39677397 39267435 38747482
38567501 38527531 38787555 39417502 40367435 41257375
42887151


Last edited by Frank_Wx on Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:16 am; edited 1 time in total

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:16 am

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 15 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:17 am

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:18 am

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations  - Page 15 FB_IMG_1515070508417.thumb.jpg.8f37a16d895ded5aeef800ff4f889c91

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:19 am

RIP LI

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:21 am

Colts Neck, NJ

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Post by aiannone Thu Jan 04, 2018 8:29 am

It is going bonkers out here. Whiteout. Out on the roads plowing!

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