Re: January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations

by **heehaw453** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:01 am

docstox12 wrote:I'm only an amateur here, but that radar extends pretty far into PA.Is this thing jogging west a bit more?That HRRR map will tell the tale.NWS has me now 3 to 5 from 1-3.Ruh Roh Goldberg, you had me 1 to 3 also,LOL.

Hi doc. Lurker for many years and located in cental/northern Bucks county PA. Snowing moderate/heavy now with 2 inches on ground. I agree 100% that the cutoff is much farther west than what guidance was suggesting recently. Sub 960 MB low under rapid intensification, ample arctic air, close to benchmark and coming into our latitude usually renders significant white gold. If not for progressive nature of this storm i can only marvel at the possibilities. I think I can get 8-12 as the snow is just accumulating so rapidly. But then again shouldn't get too far ahead of myself, LOL!

by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:01 am

Here in Barnegat, Nj near the bay I would say 3-4 on ground tough to get an accurate with wind/blowing snow. A lot of local was saying 8-12 but I think no doubt we get over 12++

by **aiannone** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:02 am

Thundersnow being reported in SNJ, specifically Windslow, NJ

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:03 am

billg315 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Cmon bands move inland ang get our n and w folks in. I feel bad posting with you guys currently getting screwed
Lol. Thanks. Post away, not everyone gets every storm so enjoy them when you jackpot. I know I’d be posting like crazy if I were getting a blizzard and it was raining on the coast. Lol

Jimmy, no way Man! Great to see you, Doc, Alex and the rest of the Jersey Shore and LI crew get blasted! We had our fun in the March Blizzard up here.Mother Nature has a good heart! She always evens the score.Have a ball today.Anyhoo, we still have a shot for 6 or more in the LHV! Winds starting to howl even up here! You LI boys better batten down the hatches!

by Smarnold Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:05 am

Finally getting some light snow here. Just starting to cover the roads.

by larryrock72 Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:05 am

Winds starting to crank now. Beginning of blizzard criteria

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:06 am

heehaw453 wrote:
docstox12 wrote:I'm only an amateur here, but that radar extends pretty far into PA.Is this thing jogging west a bit more?That HRRR map will tell the tale.NWS has me now 3 to 5 from 1-3.Ruh Roh Goldberg, you had me 1 to 3 also,LOL.

Hi doc. Lurker for many years and located in cental/northern Bucks county PA. Snowing moderate/heavy now with 2 inches on ground. I agree 100% that the cutoff is much farther west than what guidance was suggesting recently. Sub 960 MB low under rapid intensification, ample arctic air, close to benchmark and coming into our latitude usually renders significant white gold. If not for progressive nature of this storm i can only marvel at the possibilities. I think I can get 8-12 as the snow is just accumulating so rapidly. But then again shouldn't get too far ahead of myself, LOL!

Welcome to the board Friend! Good news this is so far west! Thanks for the report!

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:10 am

Light snow,22 degrees, very windy.

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:11 am

Ok first daylight report: 23* with light to moderate snow. Ground coated. Pretty good wind gusts.

by **aiannone** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:17 am

Expect those heavy bands over the ocean to lift further north into NLI and SCT as the low pressure moves north!

by Roger92 Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:17 am

It is snowing like crazy with wind gust and just heard a thunder. Already in no time close to 2.5 inches. It is coming down hard oh boy.

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:19 am

Not even a flake here in Fishkill yet lol That's fine, because just having it turn out like it is is satisfaction enough for me Smile

At least some of us are getting to cash in on the white gold!! A LOT better than most were anticipating up until 24 hours ago, and I love it!! Enjoy my fellow snow weenies!!!

As I type this, the wind is beginning to gust so I know some of the dry air is starting to mix out now. Fingers crossed!!

by **bloc1357** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:19 am

those heavy bands look like they will cover most of LI for awhile....they just keep filling in

by Guest Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:20 am

docstox12 wrote:
billg315 wrote:
syosnow94 wrote:Cmon bands move inland ang get our n and w folks in. I feel bad posting with you guys currently getting screwed
Lol. Thanks. Post away, not everyone gets every storm so enjoy them when you jackpot. I know I’d be posting like crazy if I were getting a blizzard and it was raining on the coast. Lol

Jimmy, no way Man! Great to see you, Doc, Alex and the rest of the Jersey Shore and LI crew get blasted! We had our fun in the March Blizzard up here.Mother Nature has a good heart! She always evens the score.Have a ball today.Anyhoo, we still have a shot for 6 or more in the LHV! Winds starting to howl even up here! You LI boys better batten down the hatches!

WILL DO DOC. Coming down hard. Windy. 25 degrees. 4” so far getting hard to measure. Bare in some spots and already foot high drifts in others.

by **Vinnydula** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:21 am

Just had to run out to move the car. (parked under a tree) didn't know it would be so windy. Light heavy snow at 21 degrees. About an inch

by clownloach Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:22 am

I just wanted to post my dog is getting weird like when we get thunder storms here in north babylon.....

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:25 am

clownloach wrote:I just wanted to post my dog is getting weird like when we get thunder storms here in north babylon.....

My dog who usually loves the snow wants no part of it either. It could be the rapidly decreasing pressure, they seem to be sensitive to that.

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:26 am

Crazy morning not a lot of snow yet maybe inch but winds are craz steady 28 so far registering on my wind meter saw a bit for 32 and we have been in and out last couple of hours pushing icebergs off the dock...the wind is disloging from other areas and hitting dock...temp dropped 5 degrees from 27 to 22...

by **bloc1357** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:26 am

clownloach wrote:I just wanted to post my dog is getting weird like when we get thunder storms here in north babylon.....

Fellow Babylonian here....West Babylon here

by **skinsfan1177** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:29 am

6 inches here epic

by **aiannone** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:32 am

[ltr]Mesoscale Discussion 0005[/ltr]
[ltr] NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK[/ltr]
[ltr] 0506 AM CST Thu Jan 04 2018[/ltr]

[ltr] Areas affected...From eastern New Jersey and Delaware into southern New England[/ltr]

[ltr] Concerning...Heavy snow [/ltr]

[ltr] Valid 041106Z - 041700Z[/ltr]

[ltr] SUMMARY...Snow rates will increase in intensity through midday, with max rates to 3"/hr into southern New England after about 10am local time.[/ltr]

[ltr] DISCUSSION...Precipitation continues to increase offshore as the surface low rapidly deepens. The heaviest snow bands were affecting eastern New Jersey as of 10Z but heavy snow was rapidly developing across Long Island. The zone of strongest frontogenetical forcing will lift northward and strengthen through late morning, likely resulting in an intense, pivoting band of heavy snow capable of 2-3"/hr rates from central Long Island to Red Sox Suck. The rain/snow line will remain nearly stationary near or just west of Cape Cod.[/ltr]

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:32 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:6 inches here epic

Wow skin's so amazing....

by **heehaw453** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:33 am

skinsfan1177 wrote:6 inches here epic

WOW!

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:35 am

Can someone tell me are heavy bands heading toward Sandy hook area..just curious which is best radar to use

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:42 am

I guess my big question here is, once the storm starts pulling north will the heavier bands making back to Philly right now keep making it that far west when they get up here. Nothing seems to be progressing north on the back end of this.

by **billg315** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:45 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Can someone tell me are heavy bands heading toward Sandy hook area..just curious which is best radar to use

It looks like heavier bands are coming in there already:
Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 14 Be10d610

by **Scullybutcher** Thu Jan 04, 2018 7:46 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Can someone tell me are heavy bands heading toward Sandy hook area..just curious which is best radar to use

Mothrazilla - January 4th Mothrazilla: Final Call & Observations - Page 14 Inxr1Kphla_h

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