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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by Radz Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:33 am

23*, 4” OTG as of 7:30, beautiful outside- feels like a real old fashioned February day!

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Post by Taffy Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:34 am

21 degrees, feels like 21....Wind N 3 mph gusts to 7.

Light coating, coming down like snizzle (snow & drizzle).

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Post by Sparky Sparticles Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:35 am

Those few flakes I said started earlier this morning continue as just that - a few flakes. My neighbors are already out with their snow blowers and shovels. the apartment houses and condos on the block are already plowed out, and people are driving up and down the block as if it's a normal day out there. All of NJ Transit is shut down, but there doesn't seem to be any delays at Newark Airport. Heck, the clouds seem to be breaking up and a bit of brightness is coming through. I guess I'll have no trouble making to and from my 8:30 doctor's appointment that's within walking distance.

And they're still calling for another 18" or so?
~~~
Nevermind. Within 10 minutes of writing that the skies darkened again, the clouds gathered together again, the snow started pouring - both tiny and fat flakes - and the winds whipped up. Oh, and my doc's office called to cancel, thank goodness! Now to sit back and enjoy the storm!


Last edited by Sparky Sparticles on Mon Feb 01, 2021 8:02 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:35 am

Angela0621 wrote:I am in Eatontown, we were raining but snowing now, radar looks like I am literally at the snow/rain/mix line, will we stay snow or change to rain?

The secondary low is just getting going

Should change back to snow

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:36 am

Frank_Wx wrote:The secondary low that is developing, aka Roidzilla, is shaped like an “L”

How freaking cool!!!!!!!!

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 08F13F35-C7AC-4880-BD2A-169C52A00417.png.2a0c4bc3beb1a0a41841e87cba04473a
i was just about to say thats photoshopped and then read ur writing wow that is ironically cool!! Coming down at a good clip id say moderate. Loving this is during the day the most cuz night storms are cool but daytime much better.
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:36 am

These purple circles over SNJ/CNJ/Philly are showing heavy bands of snow in this "frontgeneisi" this si why they are seeing whiteout condition in these areas with winds and heavy snow - chill NNJ peeps its coming - the radar is exploding to the ocean as the Low is getting together with its buddies to hit the dance floor - @billings did a nice job above explaining this.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 Screenshot_20210201-072454_Chrome.jpg.c61702215cd05c3a6cb2e189f168d3f2

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:36 am

Sparky Sparticles wrote:Those few flakes I said started earlier this morning continue as just that - a few flakes. My neighbors are already out with their snow blowers and shovels. the apartment houses and condos on the block are already plowed out, and people are driving up and down the block as if it's a normal day out there. All of NJ Transit is shut down, but there doesn't seem to be any delays at Newark Airport. Heck, the clouds seem to be breaking up and a bit of brightness is coming through. I guess I'll have no trouble making to and from my 8:30 doctor's appointment that's within walking distance.

And they're still calling for another 18" or so?

It’s 7:30am not 7:30pm

Last night was just overrunning and nothing to do with the coastal

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:38 am

amugs wrote:These purple circles over SNJ/CNJ/Philly are showing heavy bands of snow in this "frontgeneisi" this si why they are seeing whiteout condition in these areas with winds and heavy snow - chill NNJ peeps its coming - the radar is exploding to the ocean as the Low is getting together with its buddies to hit the dance floor - @billings did a nice job above explaining this.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 Screenshot_20210201-072454_Chrome.jpg.c61702215cd05c3a6cb2e189f168d3f2

Some towns under the purple circles may be raining or sleeting, but it’s only a matter of time before the changeover to snow happens

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Post by dsix85 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:38 am

Frank- once the costal low takes shape and starts ripping you think mixing holds off for most of Long Island?

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:39 am

30-35 dbz bands INCOMING

2-3 inches per hour under these

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 WUNIDS_map?station=DIX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map

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Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:40 am

Morning all I just woke up to a howling wind and to heavy snow . It’s amazing one side I have no snow then the other half looks a foot 😂

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Post by Vinnydula Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:41 am

6-7in 25 degrees
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Post by Irish Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:42 am

amugs wrote:These purple circles over SNJ/CNJ/Philly are showing heavy bands of snow in this "frontgeneisi" this si why they are seeing whiteout condition in these areas with winds and heavy snow - chill NNJ peeps its coming - the radar is exploding to the ocean as the Low is getting together with its buddies to hit the dance floor - @billings did a nice job above explaining this.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 Screenshot_20210201-072454_Chrome.jpg.c61702215cd05c3a6cb2e189f168d3f2

Getting hammered right now! Howling winds and heavy snow. Probably at least 6/7 on the ground.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:42 am

dsix85 wrote:Frank- once the costal low takes shape and starts ripping you think mixing holds off for most of Long Island?

I’ve been saying you gotta stay north-northwest of the 700mb low to avoid mixing or dry slotting. Unfortunately the shore and LI will see dry slotting take by 7pm or so this evening. Then they should see more snow wrap around Tuesday morning into afternoon.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 Gfs_z700_vort_neus_4


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Post by kalleg Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:42 am

New Hope:  no snow coming down at 3 or 5 am, next round hasn't started yet.  26*, eyeballing it from inside, looks like about 6" so far...


Last edited by kalleg on Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:43 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : spelling error)

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:42 am

Sorry guys,"Additional" was the key word i over looked in the WSW, I would say I have that 4 inches or so already so right on track so far. I do hope it doesnt change to wintry mix tonight,, but they say thats only "possible". Lets go! And I fully understand we are not in the primary yet, but i dunno if there was a lull before i woke up but it is certainly not a lull now.
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:44 am

850 is more SE of teh area that is good news to keep the warm air from intruding into the system/storm once it gets going. Once teh storm matures it game on for snow for everyone down to the coast.

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 EtI_GS6W4AMx9kE?format=jpg&name=medium

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:46 am

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-DIX-N0Q-20210201-1240-24-100.gif.0fa934c52f9cce321d2d0c93c09379a5

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Post by Zhukov1945 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:48 am

Frank_Wx wrote:February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 16 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-DIX-N0Q-20210201-1240-24-100.gif.0fa934c52f9cce321d2d0c93c09379a5

Can really see change over Clinton - woke up at 6 am to nothing coming down and getting the bust fear going, now snow and wind have picked up significantly!
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:48 am

Not that models really matter noiw but the 3km nam has backed off on those rediculous 30 inch totals and seems pretty uniform with 16-20/24. But i guess thats additional snow so some prolly will make it over 24 still.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:51 am

Vinnydula wrote:6-7in 25 degrees
wow nice, i cannot really tell from 2nd floor and the fire escape is a bad measure with all the gaps it just falls off.  I'd say at least 4 here but we arent that far apart so it might be closer to 5 or 6. Roads are bad, no plows and fully covered. Sparkles DO not go out, its coming and we do not want you getting stuck in the brunt of it.
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Post by WeatherBob Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:54 am

Got about 7 in on the ground now. Caldwell, NJ. Snowing heavy now.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:55 am

HRRR has me at 20 inches when all is said and done, is that in addition to whats otg or total? either or is great. The snow blower is out and i can see his cut its def closer to 5 or 6 inches.
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Post by snowlover78 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:56 am

It is coming down hard big flakes almost white out. Wow

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Post by mmanisca Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:57 am

31 with heavy snow in Deer Park... approaching 7 inches...
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Post by DAYBLAZER Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:59 am

Good Morning snow lovers! What a day this will be.

Heavy snow in Hopatcong, temp hovering in the low 20s. Just measured about 10 inches on the ground already....how crazy is that???? I saw Morristown reported 8 about an hour ago, so that seems right to me.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:59 am

Coming down hard big flakes about 27 degrees and ill measure in a bit.
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