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Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th

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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Feb 09, 2021 1:33 pm

And now we're back to snow.

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Feb 09, 2021 2:04 pm

oldtimer wrote:Boy. We really fell far from early SCIs this week. Hope good will come out of the weekend.

Ciao paisano

Yea SCIs had to come down because of the negative trends for NYC/LI, but still think some places in our region will do well this week.

Sunday is interesting. I have my eye on that one...

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Post by essexcountypete Tue Feb 09, 2021 2:05 pm

30* and freezing rain has brought a glaze of ice on untreated surfaces in Bloomfield. Very slippery.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 09, 2021 3:42 pm

Just about coming to an end now. As Doc stated earlier this is what they mean by periods of snow. It looked like it was shutting off at least three different times and started back up again. I haven’t taken a final tally yet but it’s 2.5 to 3 inches. Pretty close to what the NAM and GFS called for here.
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Post by Irish Tue Feb 09, 2021 4:18 pm

Wow, going into this week I was pumped for the end of this week and weekend and things are trending the wrong way.
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Post by hyde345 Tue Feb 09, 2021 4:57 pm

Finished with 4.
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Post by brownie Tue Feb 09, 2021 5:03 pm

0.5” at most here.  I couldn’t measure because I was working all day, but eyeballing it and looking at what local spotters have posted, 0.5” seems about right.  It started snowing here before dawn, but seemed to stop after only a few hours.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 09, 2021 5:33 pm

2.8 inches here for the final total here, brings me to 49.8 inches for the season or right about at my seasonal norm.

After last years 22 inch disaster of a winter, we deserve this.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 09, 2021 5:38 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:2.8 inches here for the final total here, brings me to 49.8 inches for the season or right about at my seasonal norm.

After last years 22 inch disaster of a winter, we deserve this.
At 30 inches am I above my seasonal average? I think its close if not over but you doc or math would know. Sorry I do not have time to search the stats thread now.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 09, 2021 5:41 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:2.8 inches here for the final total here, brings me to 49.8 inches for the season or right about at my seasonal norm.

After last years 22 inch disaster of a winter, we deserve this.
At 30 inches am I above my seasonal average? I think its close if not over but you doc or math would know. Sorry I do not have time to search the stats thread now.

Jman the average in NYC (Central Park) is 30 inches even, you're probably a couple inches above that average.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 09, 2021 5:44 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:2.8 inches here for the final total here, brings me to 49.8 inches for the season or right about at my seasonal norm.

After last years 22 inch disaster of a winter, we deserve this.
At 30 inches am I above my seasonal average? I think its close if not over but you doc or math would know. Sorry I do not have time to search the stats thread now.

Jman the average in NYC (Central Park) is 30 inches even, you're probably a couple inches above that average.
I think i'll make it, I highly doubt we seen the last snow of the season here. After last years 5" yes 5" (and not in one storm) this is already far better than past 2 yrs. Even if I moved up there I would have thought 22 inches was good after what I experienced here. lol
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Feb 09, 2021 5:47 pm

Storm totals for the Upton area.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS
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Post by algae888 Tue Feb 09, 2021 5:47 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:2.8 inches here for the final total here, brings me to 49.8 inches for the season or right about at my seasonal norm.

After last years 22 inch disaster of a winter, we deserve this.
At 30 inches am I above my seasonal average? I think its close if not over but you doc or math would know. Sorry I do not have time to search the stats thread now.

Jman the average in NYC (Central Park) is 30 inches even, you're probably a couple inches above that average.
I think i'll make it, I highly doubt we seen the last snow of the season here.  After last years 5" yes 5" (and not in one storm) this is already far better than past 2 yrs.  Even if I moved up there I would have thought 22 inches was good after what I experienced here. lol
 
Jon we have 40" here in lower Westchester.  9" in Dec then 22" and 8" tthe last two storms. Plus a few coatings in between
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 09, 2021 6:30 pm

,5" here in Hillsdale -makes my season total stand at 43" my average is 34" but waiting on the "New" 30 year average to get this

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Post by docstox12 Tue Feb 09, 2021 6:38 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Just about coming to an end now. As Doc stated earlier this is what they mean by periods of snow. It looked like it was shutting off at least three different times and started back up again. I haven’t taken a final tally yet but it’s 2.5 to 3 inches. Pretty close to what the NAM and GFS called for here.

CP, trained spotter in Monro 3.3 inches. Frank's map proved out here and right in the middle of NWS.It did last past 3 PM as you describe.Nice winter day in the HV.Looks like mainly a dusting, if that Thursday pm, but the weekend and next week have chances.We are almost at the 50 inch normal up here, a welcome change from last years terrible total.
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Post by heehaw453 Tue Feb 09, 2021 6:52 pm

Man did this fall apart.  Always the way with these baroclinic zones though.  Usually very narrow area does well.  Maybe tomorrow we are partly sunny for the remainder of the week.

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Post by SENJsnowman Tue Feb 09, 2021 7:05 pm

heehaw453 wrote:Man did this fall apart.  Always the way with these baroclinic zones though.  Usually very narrow area does well.  Maybe tomorrow we are partly sunny for the remainder of the week.

Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th - Page 7 Snowfa10

HeeHaw the way your February has gone, I’m putting you down for 2-3” on Thursday. lol. I’m just north of that 2” zone, so I could see this going for anywhere from bupkis up to 2-3” down here. Larry down in Barnegat looks good here. Him and rb are southern most on the board I think. Of course rb has himself on a barrier island jutting out into the sea. Now that’s tough dynamics to overcome. My father in law says that he can barely get snow out on Cape Cod and that’s about the same latitude as beantown.

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Post by aiannone Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:42 pm

Nam jumped north quite a bit for a c-1” north of SNJ
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:30 pm

algae888 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:2.8 inches here for the final total here, brings me to 49.8 inches for the season or right about at my seasonal norm.

After last years 22 inch disaster of a winter, we deserve this.
At 30 inches am I above my seasonal average? I think its close if not over but you doc or math would know. Sorry I do not have time to search the stats thread now.

Jman the average in NYC (Central Park) is 30 inches even, you're probably a couple inches above that average.
I think i'll make it, I highly doubt we seen the last snow of the season here.  After last years 5" yes 5" (and not in one storm) this is already far better than past 2 yrs.  Even if I moved up there I would have thought 22 inches was good after what I experienced here. lol
 
Jon we have 40" here in lower Westchester.  9" in Dec then 22" and 8" tthe last two storms. Plus a few coatings in between
Ha, duh your right I forgot to add most recent storm, well I measured 37 (did not bother with coatings), so yeah we over. cool.
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Post by aiannone Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:50 pm

0z NAM, HRRR,GFS and RGEM bump the precip back into our area with around .1-.2” of qpf high ratio snow
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Post by amugs Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:00 pm

Um Houston we may have a bit of a come back. Not big but 1-2.5" type
Jetbstreak again over the top pulse this up. HUUUGGEE change Jesus tjis went 150 miles in 2 runs. My god the N trend is incredible tnis year.

Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th - Page 7 CFEB8B6C-28D3-4B5D-8B6C-D175AD2073BC.gif.11937c3cdd478149dd1c1bffa71d7894

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Post by amugs Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:03 pm

3K is actually projected into BGM and if playednout would reach Lower reaches of NY State. That model has nailed the last few storms. Lets see where it's all at 6Z.imagine AccuWeather map comes to fruition JMAN may cry LOL

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Post by amugs Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:05 pm

That strong of a jet streak overhead will.allow the Northern expansion of the snow shield and strength of it as well. A little more lift and strength would be nice, enhance the snow shield and strength even further.

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Post by amugs Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:13 pm

GFS which has a dry basis say this.
Back to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th - Page 7 2E64388D-BEFE-4C14-B28C-435E53A17E4A.png.0460f80a9845b8dc4919b2dfe10656a5

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:43 pm

amugs wrote:3K is actually projected into BGM and if playednout would reach Lower reaches of NY State. That model has nailed the last few storms.  Lets see where it's all at 6Z.imagine AccuWeather map comes to fruition JMAN may cry LOL
ahaha which one the first one had me 6-12, then 3-6 then 1-2 i think lol. this is the potential on the 11th or 12th?
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Feb 10, 2021 4:29 am

North trends for both wavesBack to Back Snow Events FEB 9th-11th - Page 7 12knam11
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:17 am

NYC and south is looking good for some snow again. Al posted the 250mb upper level map. Notice how there is a beautiful jet streak north of our area. This allows precip to expand north despite the low passing all the way near Delmarva. In addition, there is 500mb vorticity crossing through NJ

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