Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
3.5” on the ground here. Seems to have stopped.
brownie- Posts : 397
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
What is a realistic expectation for additional snow accumulation through tomorrow morning in the NYC metro area?
lglickman1- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
4" OTG - 25 minutes sleet/mix - tonight into tomorrow some more white gold
Sharpen up that rough a bit more and we'll add another nice round.
Sharpen up that rough a bit more and we'll add another nice round.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
lglickman1 wrote:What is a realistic expectation for additional snow accumulation through tomorrow morning in the NYC metro area?
1-2”
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
amugs wrote:4" OTG - 25 minutes sleet/mix - tonight into tomorrow some more white gold
Sharpen up that rough a bit more and we'll add another nice round.
So that would make it 4.5"?
![geek](https://2img.net/i/fa/i/smiles/icon_geek.png)
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Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Ended up with 3” with round one.
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
3” here as well...
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
New Hope update--very light rain/drizzle, maybe a bit of tiny sleet, 28*
kalleg- Posts : 156
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Had very fine sleet about a half hour ago. Now snowing very lightly at 20.8*. Looks like there's a little more light snow moving into my area according to radar. I only received 3/4" with the first round.
SNOW MAN- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Looks like it's pretty much over for wave 1 here.
I'm going to call it at 1.5 inches and try to pretend that this never happened and lick my wounds and move on.
52 inches for the season now and 13.5 inches otg so I can't bitch too much.
Moderate snow started again and radar filled in a bit over us CP. Let's see how the next round goes, wave 1 has busted low.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Ended up being a fun afternoon. 3 hours of good hearty winter precip and one hour of good heavy snow.
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7816](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7816.jpg)
Using that icy foundation to make a little speed pipe.
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7817](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7817.jpg)
Oops, need a little modification here, let's try that again...
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7818](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7818.jpg)
Looking better...way to keep that corner tight Lily!!
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7819](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7819.jpg)
And a successful test run!
Trying to eyeball the amount snowfall we got in Bayville...I think Snowey is mad at me for leaving him out in the sleet, so he isn't helping any. Matter of fact, he's being a smart ass about it!
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7820](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7820.jpg)
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7816](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7816.jpg)
Using that icy foundation to make a little speed pipe.
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7817](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7817.jpg)
Oops, need a little modification here, let's try that again...
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7818](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7818.jpg)
Looking better...way to keep that corner tight Lily!!
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7819](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7819.jpg)
And a successful test run!
Trying to eyeball the amount snowfall we got in Bayville...I think Snowey is mad at me for leaving him out in the sleet, so he isn't helping any. Matter of fact, he's being a smart ass about it!
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7820](https://i.servimg.com/u/f77/20/29/09/99/img-7820.jpg)
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amugs, SkiSeadooJoe, brownie, essexcountypete, heehaw453, Joe Snow and billg315 like this post
Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Winter Weather Advisory issued February 18 at 3:52PM EST until February 19 at 7:00PM EST by NWS New York City - Upton
DESCRIPTION: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Light snow and sleet with a chance of freezing drizzle.
Additional snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 3 inches through
Friday afternoon, and ice accumulations of a light glaze
possible tonight. Total snow and sleet accumulations Thursday
through Friday afternoon of 6 to 8 inches.
* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
and southeast New York.
* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.
DESCRIPTION: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Light snow and sleet with a chance of freezing drizzle.
Additional snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 3 inches through
Friday afternoon, and ice accumulations of a light glaze
possible tonight. Total snow and sleet accumulations Thursday
through Friday afternoon of 6 to 8 inches.
* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
and southeast New York.
* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Sleet / FRZ mix right now and coming down hard.
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
There was mention earlier of a coastal low developing tonight. When I look at the radar, it looks strung out and sliding off to the east. How is this coastal low supposed to develop?
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Thanks Scott. Just didn't look like there was much to work with. Still doesn't, to be honest, but what do I know? lol
GreyBeard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Same here
Issued By
Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service
Affected Area
Portions of central, northern, northwest and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware
Description
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch.
WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware.
WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.
IMPACTS...Expect slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the commute times this evening and on Friday morning.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Patchy freezing drizzle, sleet, and snow will continue through the evening hours. Snow, sleet, and rain will then increase Friday around sunrise from the southwest as the next system approaches.
Issued By
Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service
Affected Area
Portions of central, northern, northwest and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware
Description
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch.
WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware.
WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.
IMPACTS...Expect slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the commute times this evening and on Friday morning.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Patchy freezing drizzle, sleet, and snow will continue through the evening hours. Snow, sleet, and rain will then increase Friday around sunrise from the southwest as the next system approaches.
Irish- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Official numbers are in from NWS and the jackpot out of all the listed areas was central park at 4.0!! HA
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Happy Hour Gfs is hitting Lou's shot n beer joint again
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 CE1E220A-DDC6-42F4-925B-9196D3CDD34D.png.2edafcd2f5353e6f7b09874c3f535477](https://33andrain.s3.amazonaws.com/monthly_2021_02/CE1E220A-DDC6-42F4-925B-9196D3CDD34D.png.2edafcd2f5353e6f7b09874c3f535477.png)
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 CE1E220A-DDC6-42F4-925B-9196D3CDD34D.png.2edafcd2f5353e6f7b09874c3f535477](https://33andrain.s3.amazonaws.com/monthly_2021_02/CE1E220A-DDC6-42F4-925B-9196D3CDD34D.png.2edafcd2f5353e6f7b09874c3f535477.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
amugs wrote:Happy Hour Gfs is hitting Lou's shot n beer joint again
I'll take that darker blue all over my area (Middlesex county) right over the rain.
Irish- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Happy Hour Runs of GFS and RGEM
An idea of another 2-3".
Have a coating as light snow continues here in varying intensity that last hour
An idea of another 2-3".
Have a coating as light snow continues here in varying intensity that last hour
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
![Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 B9766557-286F-47FB-A543-D5372100BF3A.png.0a69c2c93ecccfedf45fd43a65d67f3b](https://33andrain.s3.amazonaws.com/monthly_2021_02/B9766557-286F-47FB-A543-D5372100BF3A.png.0a69c2c93ecccfedf45fd43a65d67f3b.png)
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast
Just finished shoveling by me we ended up with 4 inches of snow .now it’s freezing drizzle ![:disappointed: 😞](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/emojione/assets/png/1f61e.png?v=2.2.7)
![:disappointed: 😞](https://cdn.jsdelivr.net/emojione/assets/png/1f61e.png?v=2.2.7)
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
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