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01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:24 am

The CMC is showing DCs most historic snowstorm. Ever.

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:24 am

jimv45 wrote:the GFS puts us Hudson valley people back in game!!

It puts all of CT, LI southern WC up ito northern HV all in borderline roidzilla as frank stated. I am around 16-18, but could easily b 24 with ratios.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:25 am

Washington seems to be consistently in the 30 inch area. In a city that panics for 2 inches of snow there must be Evacuations right now. This would be an all timer for them. This far ahead I'm doubting that verifies but I'm just guessing.
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Post by Joe Snow Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:25 am

amugs wrote:
Joe Snow wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Long Island is buried 

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 GFS_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f105



YES!!! Stony Brook finally gets buried..........

JOE, THE MAY NOT FIND THE TWIN FORKS UNTIL MAY - HAHAHAHA!!


LOL So true.

I am ready for it though generator is filled up and ready.

Snow blower is working ready

Bring it!!!
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Post by billg315 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:25 am

Frank! Lol.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:26 am

I FEEL LIKE OPRAH TODAY.

YOU GET A ROIDZILLA

YOU GET A ROIDZILLA

EVERYONE GETS A ROIDZILLA!!!!!

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f99

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f102

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f105

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f108

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f111

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Post by billg315 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:27 am

Well so far so good. And we are getting much closer to zero hour soooo I'm headed out to get my Nutella!
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Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:28 am

Frank_Wx wrote:I FEEL LIKE OPRAH TODAY.

YOU GET A ROIDZILLA

YOU GET A ROIDZILLA

EVERYONE GETS A ROIDZILLA!!!!!

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f99

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f102

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f105

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f108

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f111

Can you archive this run for me? or at least this post? I will probably never see this again ahaha

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Post by amugs Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:28 am

Okay correct me here boys buty was that carbon copy to a degree of teh GFS by the CMC but with a heavier and longer duration CCB over NYC metro and west??

Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked

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Post by Abba701 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:29 am

How come everyone is getting excited? Who says the euro will agree with the GFS?

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:30 am

Abba701 wrote:How come everyone is getting excited? Who says the euro will agree with the GFS?

The EPS were NW of the OP and NWS already declared initialization errors on the euro last night. It's wrong.

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Post by SNOW MAN Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:31 am

Frank_Wx wrote:THE WHOLE FREAKING STORM STALLS AND WE ALL GET BLASTED WITH A BORDERLINE ROIDZILLA!!!!!!!!!!!!

Will NEPA be in this also ? Or will there be a sharp cut off to the West ?
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Post by Dtone Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:33 am

Frank_Wx wrote:The CMC is showing DCs most historic snowstorm. Ever.

I had plans to drive to DC area this wkend. Those seem officially canceled. Thankfully its nothing too important, I'd rather have the snow

Wash Post says:
"A high impact snowstorm for the region is nearing inevitability and there is some chance it is historic, paralyzing travel and disrupting normal routines.
Every major computer model is now forecasting double digit snowfall totals for the D.C. area Friday and Saturday."

Will NY media hop on board soon?

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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:33 am

SNOW MAN wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:THE WHOLE FREAKING STORM STALLS AND WE ALL GET BLASTED WITH A BORDERLINE ROIDZILLA!!!!!!!!!!!!

Will NEPA be in this also ? Or will there be a sharp cut off to the West ?

I think the cutoff will be central NY and PA

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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:34 am

What's the deal with the intense snows down in DC? I guess we need a later closure of the low for it to come N/E.
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Post by Quietace Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:34 am

Dtone wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:The CMC is showing DCs most historic snowstorm. Ever.

I had plans to drive to DC area this wkend. Those seem officially canceled. Thankfully its nothing too important, I'd rather have the snow

Wash Post says:
"A high impact snowstorm for the region is nearing inevitability and there is some chance it is historic, paralyzing travel and disrupting normal routines.
Every major computer model is now forecasting double digit snowfall totals for the D.C. area Friday and Saturday."

Will NY media hop on board soon?
If everything stays put they will have to by tonight.
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Post by amugs Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:34 am

Abba701 wrote:How come everyone is getting excited? Who says the euro will agree with the GFS?

Abba the fact is we are seeing unprecedented and unparalleled continuity between a majority of the major models so far. The atmospheric evolution is something we may not see in another 30 years or more so as a weather snow weenie I am pumped for this.  Euro had issues last night .

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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:39 am

OK KING EURO YOUR UP NEXT COME JOIN THE PARTY!!! affraid king
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Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:40 am

CMC total snow:

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 Snowfall_total_accum_lwwratio_NECONUS_hr129

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Post by lglickman1 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:41 am

why was the 32 line so inland on this run, does that have any significant impact?

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:43 am

Frank_Wx wrote:I FEEL LIKE OPRAH TODAY.

YOU GET A ROIDZILLA

YOU GET A ROIDZILLA

EVERYONE GETS A ROIDZILLA!!!!!

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f96

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f99

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f102

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f105

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f108

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_ne_f111

Holy crap that blue right over me and al and other NYC'ers jackpot!!
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:43 am

rb924119 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:THE WHOLE FREAKING STORM STALLS AND WE ALL GET BLASTED WITH A BORDERLINE ROIDZILLA!!!!!!!!!!!!

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off - Page 16 Snowfall_total_accum_lwwratio_NECONUS_hr120
Wow that light blue of 20 inches is right by holy smokes
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:44 am

The great Paul Kocin compares this to 1996

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd

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Post by lglickman1 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:44 am

all these maps are 10:1?

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Post by gambri Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:45 am

how does it looks for central NJ, jackson area??? are we in it also??
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Post by skinsfan1177 Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:48 am

I will be plowing until May with these runs coast looks to stay all snow
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Jan 19, 2016 11:49 am

lglickman1 wrote:all these maps are 10:1?
Yes.
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