Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:57 pm

Wow long duration

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:57 pm

by **skinsfan1177** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:58 pm

Cnj no and coast still getting hit hard on euro

by **amugs** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:59 pm

Euro definitely trended better and didn't jump to the convection as much. You can see that the duration of the storm lasts a bit longer.

by **lglickman1** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:59 pm

The $64,000 question is which of these models will be closest to the actual storm track, or is it a blend of the models

by **amugs** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:00 pm

by **docstox12** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:01 pm

lglickman1 wrote:The $64,000 question is which of these models will be closest to the actual storm track, or is it a blend of the models

Radar time soon.That will answer that question.Euro good for CNJ and NJ Coast but didn't give me too much help up here.

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:01 pm

Guys think of where we were yesterday at this time with the Euro. This is a huge run.

by **nutleyblizzard** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:01 pm

Looks like a great run to me. Long duration too.

by **jimv45** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:02 pm

yea doc it looked good and then hit that wall not going to be good our way moving on!!!

by **amugs** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:02 pm

HR 36 LP over the southern Delmarva so it came North a bit more, tucked to teh coast which was good but then elongates and jumps again east but teh precip was better picking up on the moisture fetch.

Dont think so Jman 12-24 with this run but I would not rule it out

by **sabamfa** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:02 pm

Does anyone have thoughts on start times? Morris County, near Morristown. Thanks!

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:03 pm

All HAIL THE ...... NAM???

by **Dtone** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:03 pm

How does the latest euro run compare to the last? Equal to slight improvement id think would be good.

by **lglickman1** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:04 pm

looks like slight improvements, no?

by gigs68 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:07 pm

Frank, Have you sent out a newsletter on this storm? If you did, I don't think I received.

by **amugs** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:07 pm

ONTO THE MEOSCALE MODELS - IN THESE WE TRUST RIDE THEM WITH THIS SET UP AND WE ALL COEMOUT WINNERS!! A GOOD TREND THOUGH INLAST 12 HOURS STARTED WITH WHO?? ANYONE ANYONE???

NAM and its buddy SREFS!!!!!!!

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:08 pm

amugs wrote:HR 36 LP over the southern Delmarva so it came North a bit more, tucked to teh coast which was good but then elongates and jumps again east but teh precip was better picking up on the moisture fetch.

Dont think so Jman 12-24 with this run but I would not rule it out

no I didn't mean on the run I meant as a possible end outcome.

by **Vinnydula** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:08 pm

Does it matter at this point what the models are showing?

by **amugs** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:11 pm

sabamfa wrote:Does anyone have thoughts on start times? Morris County, near Morristown. Thanks!

BY HRRR MAP I POSTED SOMETIME AROUND 7ISH??

by **jmanley32** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:13 pm

Euro basically same on snowfall.

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:15 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Euro basically same on snowfall.

That is GREAT news! Onto the mesoscales!!!

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:20 pm

Bernie Rayno just now:

"Euro continues to weaken UL off NC after 00z Sun. As a result, Heaviest snow SE PA to N VA. Think there can be a little push further N."

by **hyde345** Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:25 pm

Can somebody post Euro snow map please?

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