Re: 01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:45 pm

The 00z UKMET is north too

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:46 pm

dad4twoboys wrote:

Hahaha

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:46 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Nice map Ray, I think most of MD and SNJ will get into pretty high amounts.

Thanks!! Yeah, earlier on when I made it, since it was only based on the data through 12z, I wasn't confident enough to carry the 12-18" through central Jersey. After seeing tonight's runs I probably will, and will also slightly expand it slightly on the western edge. I will also probably add a 18-24"+ shade in there when I do my final map tomorrow. Think the 6-12" and lower amount ranges are still looking to verify well (so far). I have to look at everything tomorrow once it all comes in haha

by **dad4twoboys** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:47 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Here we go again.

00z NAVGEM is north

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 17 I_see_10

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:47 pm

The NAVGEM and UKMET show almost a foot for NYC.

I can't make it for the EURO. But it should be interesting.

Will update tomorrow!

by **rb924119** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:48 pm

Yeah those two will be north, but the GEFS, CMC Ensemble and the EURO and it's Ensemble will all be south ahaha

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:48 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:50 pm

rb924119 wrote:Yeah those two will be north, but the GEFS, CMC Ensemble and the EURO and it's Ensemble will all be south ahaha

GEFS coming out now

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:50 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:51 pm

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:52 pm

by **docstox12** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:52 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:
That chase has been consistent exept the 18z, but it just doesnt make sense. Do you have any insight or is this a crapshoot at this point?

I might be wrong but I think this very thing happened in the February 1978 snowstorm that had been expected to drop 24 inches plus in the area I was living in, Ridgefield Park NJ, but a last minute "trnsfer of energy" occured and it stopped snowing completely with only about 10-12 inches while RI got blasted in the 30 inch range.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:54 pm

by **jake732** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:57 pm

Frank, may as well stay up for the euro Smile

by **2004blackwrx** Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:57 pm

Weather models are saying HV no chance at all but wait you may also be the bulls eye. Im like lets go to bed there are no commitments,

by pkmak Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:58 pm

What time is the EURO coming out?

by Guest Thu Jan 21, 2016 11:59 pm

Looks like all of the ensemble runs have the low jumping to just off the coast between hours 18 and 24.

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:02 am

pkmak wrote:What time is the EURO coming out?

Starts between 1:30 and 2am lol

by **rb924119** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:04 am

I'm going to bed ladies and gents, I already know the outcome. I'm gonna take one last look at the NAM and dream sweetly haha Night all, good luck tonight and I'll be back tomorrow!!!

by pkmak Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:05 am

rb924119 wrote:
pkmak wrote:What time is the EURO coming out?

Starts between 1:30 and 2am lol

LOL ouch, thanks RB

by **2004blackwrx** Fri Jan 22, 2016 12:06 am

rb924119 wrote:I'm going to bed ladies and gents, I already know the outcome. I'm gonna take one last look at the NAM and dream sweetly haha Night all, good luck tonight and I'll be back tomorrow!!!

I concur. Goodnight!!!!