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01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:20 pm

Bernie Rayno just now:

"Euro continues to weaken UL off NC after 00z Sun. As a result,  Heaviest snow SE PA to N VA. Think there can be a little push further N."

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Post by hyde345 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:25 pm

Can somebody post Euro snow map please?

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:25 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:Bernie Rayno just now:

"Euro continues to weaken UL off NC after 00z Sun. As a result,  Heaviest snow SE PA to N VA. Think there can be a little push further N."

with what the 00z, it will be snowing by then lol
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:26 pm

hyde345 wrote:Can somebody post Euro snow map please?

hang on, in one minute.
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Post by pkmak Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:27 pm

Does anyone think that Douglaston/ Great Neck area of NY can see over a foot?

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:29 pm

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 33 Euro_110
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Post by hyde345 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:32 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
hyde345 wrote:Can somebody post Euro snow map please?

hang on, in one minute.

Thanks Jman.
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:32 pm

TWC now has Philly 18-24" Baltimore 2ft+
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Post by Joe Snow Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:33 pm

pkmak wrote:Does anyone think that Douglaston/ Great Neck area of NY can see over a foot?


Yes I do
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:36 pm

jmanley32 wrote:01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 33 Euro_110
That gives me almost 2 ft wow can't see mixing issues
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:36 pm

De Blasio is holding his press conference lol
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Post by jake732 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:37 pm

skinns i really dont think this map will confirm?? bernie rayno doesnt see it at all?
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:37 pm

jimv45 wrote:yea doc it looked good and then hit that wall not going to be good our way moving on!!!

Jim this is the tenth time you've been moving on in the last 48 hours. Face facts until that radar stops at the TZ bridge for six consecutive hours which it's probably going to do and frustrate the hell out of us with light to occassional bursts of moderate snow you are not moving on. Very Happy
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Post by Joe Snow Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:39 pm

01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 33 Godzil10



Just saw this Frank, contact the legal department
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:42 pm

Joe Snow wrote:01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It? - Page 33 Godzil10



Just saw this Frank, contact the legal department

LMAO I like the make winter better again
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Post by jimv45 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:44 pm

cp just face reality

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Post by Taffy Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:45 pm

Just starting snowing in DC. It didn't pussyfoot around. It came on like gangbusters.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:45 pm

jake732 wrote:skinns i really dont think this map will confirm?? bernie rayno doesnt see it at all?
Bernie who?
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Post by pkmak Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:47 pm

Joe Snow wrote:
pkmak wrote:Does anyone think that Douglaston/ Great Neck area of NY can see over a foot?


Yes I do


Thanks Joe

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:47 pm

jimv45 wrote:cp just face reality

I've never said it was likely but it's not a 1 in 100 either. 20% shot in orange we get a foot. 40% chance we get six. You're odds by you decease of course. That 20 miles is big this storm.
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Post by dsvinos Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:49 pm

According to the radar on channel 5...the system at 1:47 is just touching the most southern part of New Jersey!! It's here!! It's here!! cheers cheers cheers cheers cheers
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:50 pm

The euro snow map didn't look that great?
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:50 pm

I just put out this newsletter. If your account is setup to receive newsletters you should get it in your email shortly.

Hi everyone,

A powerful Godzilla storm is going to track up the coast late tonight through tomorrow. The enhanced Sub-Tropical Jet Stream from El Nino, warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico, and warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean will fuel this storm to bring insane snow amounts to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

At this time I am thinking the NYC Metro area will receive between 12-18 inches of snow. Central and southern NJ are in line to see a 15-24" snowfall. Since this will be a long duration storm, if banding sets up over a particular area there could be isolated snow amounts near 20." A final call snow map will be posted on the website around 6pm today.

Start time will be between Midnight and 1am. The further south you are the earlier the start time. Do not be surprised to see snow showers break out as early as 10pm. End time will be between 10pm and Midnight on Saturday night. The brunt of the storm - when 2" per hour snow rates and blizzard-like conditions are possible, will come between 1pm-6pm Saturday.

Winds will be sustained in the 25-35mph range with gusts as high as 50mph possible. The Shore points could see gusts approach 70mph. Please be prepared for a potential power outage.

Thank you for following NJ Strong Wx Forum. Have fun and stay safe!!

Best,

Frank

www.njstrongweatherforum.com

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CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
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Post by jimv45 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:52 pm

cp I know i might sound greedy but who cares if somehow we get 3-6  boy if that's the case we have really lowered our standards!  Don't mean to be negative but it been a bad winter so far.

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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:53 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I just put out this newsletter. If your account is setup to receive newsletters you should get it in your email shortly.

Hi everyone,

A powerful Godzilla storm is going to track up the coast late tonight through tomorrow. The enhanced Sub-Tropical Jet Stream from El Nino, warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico, and warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean will fuel this storm to bring insane snow amounts to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.

At this time I am thinking the NYC Metro area will receive between 12-18 inches of snow. Central and southern NJ are in line to see a 15-24" snowfall. Since this will be a long duration storm, if banding sets up over a particular area there could be isolated snow amounts near 20." A final call snow map will be posted on the website around 6pm today.

Start time will be between Midnight and 1am. The further south you are the earlier the start time. Do not be surprised to see snow showers break out as early as 10pm. End time will be between 10pm and Midnight on Saturday night. The brunt of the storm - when 2" per hour snow rates and blizzard-like conditions are possible, will come between 1pm-6pm Saturday.

Winds will be sustained in the 25-35mph range with gusts as high as 50mph possible. The Shore points could see gusts approach 70mph. Please be prepared for a potential power outage.

Thank you for following NJ Strong Wx Forum. Have fun and stay safe!!

Best,

Frank

www.njstrongweatherforum.com
Thanks Frank! Great call on upping amounts. This bitch is BOOKING it up the coast. Contact in DC said snow came in fast and furious without ado.
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Post by SoulSingMG Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:57 pm

OMG: Mayor of NYC is on now and is announcing 12-18 inch snows for the city per the NWS update he received! 


The NAM IN FOR THE WIN
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Post by RJB8525 Fri Jan 22, 2016 1:58 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:OMG: Mayor of NYC is on now and is announcing 12-18 inch snows for the city per the NWS update he received! 


The NAM IN FOR THE WIN

Yup TWC also put them in the 12-18 themselves
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