01/23/16 Storm Update #5 - It Is What It Is, Or Is It?

Coastal destruction

Through 36, nearly 3' in parts of NNJ...

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016012218&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=036

http://www.metro.us/new-york/mayor-de-blasio-declares-winter-weather-emergency-warns-stay-off-roads/zsJpav---DafxycbHEBkak/

hi res says hello brothers and sistas!!!!!!!!

weatherwatchermom wrote:Lonnie Quinn cut into programming sleeves up..bumped up numbers.

Sleeves rolled up? It's on!

Not 4 feet, that's false but 2-3 insane, 1/2 maybe but imagine this verified!!

jmanley32 wrote:Not 4 feet, that's false but 2-3 insane, 1/2 maybe but imagine this verified!!

Compare the northern fringe from the last run please jman snow maps owe can see where this fringe is.

boy if that's right the cutoff is to my north i get 6-10 not bad north trend please i am not far from the big

If my 16" from last week verify I will only follow my gut and no models. I said NYC will get 16" on Monday of last week

NAM HI RES QPF STOPS AT HOUR 36 - NAM GOES TO HR 42

jimv45 wrote:boy if that's right the cutoff is to my north i get 6-10 not bad north trend please i am not far from the big

JIM IT PIVOTS THE FLOW AROUND ITS CENTER FROM THE ATLANTIC AS IT HEADS UP THIS WAY AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS GOOD UP TO YOU ON THIS MODEL - NOT SHOWING THE DRY AIR UNTIL FURTHER NORTH BECAUSE IT IS COMING FURTHER NORTH AS WELL

Just listen to local met on no news say that flooding will be Sandy like in certain areas

yea Cp i can't stop its just so hard!!!

OKAY PEEPS I  AM OUT FOR A GOOD WHILE - SONS HOCKEY GAME, DINNER AND THEN A HOCKEY FUNDRAISER I AM RUNNING - NOTHING AND I MEAN NOTHING BUT POSITIVE JUJU OR ELSE!!!!

ALSO IMBY - SOME OF YOU (TOM) WILL CRUSH AND I MAY GET 12" BUT I AM JUST EXCITED THAT WE ARE GETTING A GODZILLA AND GOOD FOR THOSE THAT CRUSH NO WAH WAH PLEASE WE HAVE DONE A 180 SINCE DEC SO ..............

- FRANK SAID JAN 29TH FOR A GODZILLA IF I RECALL CORRECTLY  - THAT MY FRIENDS IS AMAZING!!!MY CALL IS FEB 14-17 TIMEFRAME - BOOYAHHH!!!

I'LL BE CHECKING IN VIA MOBILE. CARRY ON.

boy Cp i got this feeling when i was a kid it never goes away my wife thinks I am nuts when there is a storm!!  But the last few years this ups and downs are killing me!!

My holly increased totals

Good map snow

PSYCH I'M BACK FOR TOM FROM HOLLY - NERVOUS AS ALL HECK


FXUS61 KPHI 221809
AFDPHI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
109 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON WILL STRENGTHEN IN ITS
PASSAGE TO THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST EARLY SATURDAY. THE LOW IS
THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND OUT TO SEA SATURDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE IS ANTICIPATED TO FOLLOW FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE
NEW WEEK. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IS FORECAST TO
ARRIVE ON TUESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
EXPECTED IN ITS WAKE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
THE FASTER START TIME FOR THE SNOW SEEMS TO BE PANNING OUT BASED
ON UPSTREAM OBSERVATIONS. AS OF NOON, THE SNOW IS ON THE DOOR STEP
OF SRN MD AND THE VA PART OF THE DELMARVA. IT`S ALREADY SNOWING
HEAVILY IN THE RICHMOND, VA AREA. MAJORITY OF THE 12Z GUIDANCE HAS
TRENDED FARTHER NORTH WITH THE LOW AND PRECIP SHIELD, PUTTING SE
PA, S/C NJ AND THE NRN DELMARVA IN THE CROSSFIRE FOR THE HEAVIEST
SNOW. IT ALSO PUTS AREAS TO THE NORTH (I-78 CORRIDOR) THAT WERE
ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION AT GREATER RISK FOR
MODERATE TO PERHAPS HEAVY SNOW.

WE PLAN ON EVALUATING THE REST OF THE 12Z GUIDANCE AND CONDUCTING
AN INTERNAL CONFERENCE CALL WITH OUR NEIGHBORING OFFICES AND WPC
BEFORE UPDATING OUR SNOWFALL FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON. WE WANT TO
EMPHASIZE THAT SHORTLY AFTER THE SNOW STARTS LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO TONIGHT, THE SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY. ROAD CONDITIONS
WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WITH SNOWFALL RATES
OF 1+ INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES.