Re: Long Range Thread 16.0

[jmanley32]

Not go take that cmc snow map to heart cuz it hurts lol

[jimv45]

boy that looks good blue backing in, keep the west going.

[nutleyblizzard]

Great start to the 12z model runs today. Upper levels have improved today. The lead shortwave has slowed down allowing the northern stream to catch up to it. GFS and CMC were so close to a full phase. Can't wait to see the ensembles. With the EURO making the closest approach last night, todays run could be very interesting indeed.

[Guest]

SO IM GOING TO SUMMARIZE THE MODELS AND WHERE WE CURRENTLY STAND.  ID LOVE A MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON ON HERE TO COMMENT

EURO:  held serve from yesterday secs/mecs from city east
GFS:  went east 0z now back west 12z  coastal scraper. Known s/e bias
CMC:  went east 0z now back to secs/mecs from city east
UKIE:  went from BECS to coastal scraper
NAVGEM:  currently showing HECS
NAM still out of range but looks like it would be a big hit

Frank sent us all to bed thinking anything less than a continued west shift with the 0z runs would spell doom for the storm, hence JMan’s angst.  This mornings runs and sRoc and Tom’s opinions give us hope.  I’m no expert but 96 hours out unless there’s big swings east I think the coast especially sits in a good spot.  PLUS THE WESTERN RIDGE LOOKS STOUT ON ALL MODELS.  

THOUGHTS?

[jmanley32]

SO IM GOING TO SUMMARIZE THE MODELS AND WHERE WE CURRENTLY STAND.  ID LOVE A MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON ON HERE TO COMMENT

EURO:  held serve from yesterday secs/mecs from city east
GFS:  went east 0z now back west 12z  coastal scraper
CMC:  went east 0z now back to secs/mecs from city east
UKIE:  went from BECS to coastal scraper
NAVGEM:  currently showing HECS
NAM still out of range but looks like it would be a big hit

Frank sent us all to bed thinking anything less than a continued west shift with the 0z runs would spell doom for the storm, hence JMan’s angst.  This mornings runs and sRoc and Tom’s opinions give us hope.  I’m no expert but 96 hours out unless there’s big swings east I think the coast especially sits in a good spot.  PLUS THE WESTERN RIDGE LOOKS STOUT ON ALL MODELS.  

THOUGHTS?

don't forget the Sam big hit lmao

[Dunnzoo]

SO IM GOING TO SUMMARIZE THE MODELS AND WHERE WE CURRENTLY STAND.  ID LOVE A MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON ON HERE TO COMMENT

EURO:  held serve from yesterday secs/mecs from city east
GFS:  went east 0z now back west 12z  coastal scraper
CMC:  went east 0z now back to secs/mecs from city east
UKIE:  went from BECS to coastal scraper
NAVGEM:  currently showing HECS
NAM still out of range but looks like it would be a big hit

Frank sent us all to bed thinking anything less than a continued west shift with the 0z runs would spell doom for the storm, hence JMan’s angst.  This mornings runs and sRoc and Tom’s opinions give us hope.  I’m no expert but 96 hours out unless there’s big swings east I think the coast especially sits in a good spot.  PLUS THE WESTERN RIDGE LOOKS STOUT ON ALL MODELS.  

THOUGHTS?

My opinion, wait to see Monday night's runs, enjoy NYE, and get a chiropractor or 2 ready on OTI for all the Tech neck cases you'll have from everyone model-hugging!

Happy and Safe New Year's everyone!

[Carter bk]

Right now i say 50\50 chance of either but i think west trends are holding stronger than east. And if this storm comes up coast it will be something for the history books will love to see this play out long nights ahead happy new years guys and gals

[jimv45]

yea carter if west trend keeps going everybody will be happy.

[mikeypizano]

Any chance we get another March 2017 like storm? I can use another 24 inches...

[Carter bk]

All options are on the table flurries, mecs, hecs, becs, secs one thing for sure what ever it is. its gonna be forzen precip its on my daughtets birthday so we hoping history

[jmanley32]

Get the low inside the bm and it's go b a cat 3 snowicane lol

[jake732]

if euro trends west a bit more we need a thread!

[jmanley32]

if euro trends west a bit more we need a thread!

I would say Frank will prolly chime in after euro. And it should follow suit. We were not far off from a full phase on cmc and a absolutely massive hit. As stated nam extrapolated out prolly would been a crazy hit too. Another day and nam will have it north at 84 hrs.

[jake732]

we dont need a thread tho for a full out hit on new england. we need euro to start showing a nice storm for us folks

[jmanley32]

Any chance we get another March 2017 like storm? I can use another 24 inches...

give me 1888 let's go for the gold Mike lol

[jmanley32]

we dont need a thread tho for a full out hit on new england. we need euro to start showing a nice storm for us folks

if it continues west on euro I am thinking it won't stop yet so it would get in here if all goes right. Forget New England.

[Guest]

we dont need a thread tho for a full out hit on new england. we need euro to start showing a nice storm for us folks

if it continues west on euro I am thinking it won't stop yet so it would get in here if all goes right. Forget New England.

If you two jinx this thing by being so positive and it winds up going OTS I’m gonna find you guys........

[jmanley32]

we dont need a thread tho for a full out hit on new england. we need euro to start showing a nice storm for us folks

if it continues west on euro I am thinking it won't stop yet so it would get in here if all goes right. Forget New England.

If you two jinx this thing by being so positive and it winds up going OTS I’m gonna find you guys........

what storm? There's a storm? Yeah right we don't get storms anymore..

[billg315]

SO IM GOING TO SUMMARIZE THE MODELS AND WHERE WE CURRENTLY STAND.  ID LOVE A MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON ON HERE TO COMMENT

EURO:  held serve from yesterday secs/mecs from city east
GFS:  went east 0z now back west 12z  coastal scraper
CMC:  went east 0z now back to secs/mecs from city east
UKIE:  went from BECS to coastal scraper
NAVGEM:  currently showing HECS
NAM still out of range but looks like it would be a big hit

Frank sent us all to bed thinking anything less than a continued west shift with the 0z runs would spell doom for the storm, hence JMan’s angst.  This mornings runs and sRoc and Tom’s opinions give us hope.  I’m no expert but 96 hours out unless there’s big swings east I think the coast especially sits in a good spot.  PLUS THE WESTERN RIDGE LOOKS STOUT ON ALL MODELS.  

THOUGHTS?

don't forget the Sam big hit lmao

Exactly Jman! never forget the Sam (even with it’s warm bias). Lol

[jmanley32]

SO IM GOING TO SUMMARIZE THE MODELS AND WHERE WE CURRENTLY STAND.  ID LOVE A MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON ON HERE TO COMMENT

EURO:  held serve from yesterday secs/mecs from city east
GFS:  went east 0z now back west 12z  coastal scraper
CMC:  went east 0z now back to secs/mecs from city east
UKIE:  went from BECS to coastal scraper
NAVGEM:  currently showing HECS
NAM still out of range but looks like it would be a big hit

Frank sent us all to bed thinking anything less than a continued west shift with the 0z runs would spell doom for the storm, hence JMan’s angst.  This mornings runs and sRoc and Tom’s opinions give us hope.  I’m no expert but 96 hours out unless there’s big swings east I think the coast especially sits in a good spot.  PLUS THE WESTERN RIDGE LOOKS STOUT ON ALL MODELS.  

THOUGHTS?

don't forget the Sam big hit lmao

Exactly Jman! never forget the Sam (even with it’s warm bias). Lol

was that a joke or is there such a model?

[jmanley32]

Great start to the 12z model runs today. Upper levels have improved  today. The lead shortwave has slowed down allowing the northern stream to catch up to it. GFS and CMC were so close to a full phase. Can't wait to see the ensembles. With the EURO making the closest approach last night, todays run could be very interesting indeed.

Gefs look same to me a few members are well west now but most in same spot.

[billg315]

SO IM GOING TO SUMMARIZE THE MODELS AND WHERE WE CURRENTLY STAND.  ID LOVE A MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON ON HERE TO COMMENT

EURO:  held serve from yesterday secs/mecs from city east
GFS:  went east 0z now back west 12z  coastal scraper
CMC:  went east 0z now back to secs/mecs from city east
UKIE:  went from BECS to coastal scraper
NAVGEM:  currently showing HECS
NAM still out of range but looks like it would be a big hit

Frank sent us all to bed thinking anything less than a continued west shift with the 0z runs would spell doom for the storm, hence JMan’s angst.  This mornings runs and sRoc and Tom’s opinions give us hope.  I’m no expert but 96 hours out unless there’s big swings east I think the coast especially sits in a good spot.  PLUS THE WESTERN RIDGE LOOKS STOUT ON ALL MODELS.  

THOUGHTS?

don't forget the Sam big hit lmao

Exactly Jman! never forget the Sam (even with it’s warm bias). Lol

was that a joke or is there such a model?

Haha. The SAM was the creation of Alex and I under Janet’s supervision (fueled by a few beers and some Baileys). After the crappy 0z model runs and frustration last night we felt the board needed a little humor to take the edge off. :-)

[jmanley32]

BTW happy New year's to all. Never been a holiday I've cared about myself especially being I'm I'll and home but enjoy yourselves and I'll b look forward to updates on the possible storm.

[jmanley32]

SO IM GOING TO SUMMARIZE THE MODELS AND WHERE WE CURRENTLY STAND.  ID LOVE A MORE KNOWLEDGEABLE PERSON ON HERE TO COMMENT

EURO:  held serve from yesterday secs/mecs from city east
GFS:  went east 0z now back west 12z  coastal scraper
CMC:  went east 0z now back to secs/mecs from city east
UKIE:  went from BECS to coastal scraper
NAVGEM:  currently showing HECS
NAM still out of range but looks like it would be a big hit

Frank sent us all to bed thinking anything less than a continued west shift with the 0z runs would spell doom for the storm, hence JMan’s angst.  This mornings runs and sRoc and Tom’s opinions give us hope.  I’m no expert but 96 hours out unless there’s big swings east I think the coast especially sits in a good spot.  PLUS THE WESTERN RIDGE LOOKS STOUT ON ALL MODELS.  

THOUGHTS?

don't forget the Sam big hit lmao

Exactly Jman! never forget the Sam (even with it’s warm bias). Lol

was that a joke or is there such a model?

Haha. The SAM was the creation of Alex and I under Janet’s supervision (fueled by a few beers and some Baileys). After the crappy 0z model runs and frustration last night we felt the board needed a little humor to take the edge off. :-)

so what was that model image of you posted with it that was a big hit.

[aiannone]

Euro coming in hot!

[mwilli5783]

happy new year to everyone in here i've been monitoring u guys since i joined the group especially now with this storm coming(west trend keep it going)

[Frank_Wx]

Euro says happy new year

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