May 2020 Observations & Discussions

I blinked and somehow we are already in May.



Temperatures in the month of April ended -3 to -6 below normal. The main factor that lead to these cooler conditions was a very strong ridge centered over the north-central Pacific, also know as the -EPO ridge. Check out April 2020's 500mb height anomalies.



Man, a ridge like that during the winter would have results in at minimum a Mothrazilla event. Also, April featured an east-based -NAO block.

Oh well

The EURO Ensembles continue to show much of the same - below normal temps thru the next 10 days or so. This past weekend was a true gift from Mother Nature.



I guess enjoy the cooler weather, because once this breaks, it is going to get warm/hot real fast around here...

Our stretch of nice weekends may come to an end soon.

Rain Wednesday and looks likely for Saturday too as a coastal storm tries to form. We'll see if models still show this system by mid-week

Frank_Wx wrote:Our stretch of nice weekends may come to an end soon.

Rain Wednesday and looks likely for Saturday too as a coastal storm tries to form. We'll see if models still show this system by mid-week

Thank you for the update Frank..missed you...hope all is well?!

I was given a weather question and could not give a answer question is "if a tropical storm/hurricane formed in Fla and heads up the east coast could the force of the winds kill the virus"? Logic tells me no..what do you think

This system Wednesday would have the look of a nice quick-hit snowstorm if it were February - or even March. Cold rain for now. More cold rain this weekend. And I don’t know what to make of those models showing snow next week. But hey. This is the year of crazy right?

Freeze and frost warnings  likely this week and weekend for many. And this by the GFS??

I see this more as elevation snow than anything for the mountains in NWNJ, Loconos and Catskills up to Adirondack and Berkeshires

Low of 45 this morning...but bright and sunny!

For the Hudson valley Gang as they have talked about the great snow of '77!


Here are the temperature anomalies - differences between the Normal highs/lows for this time of the year - if this were the heart of winter we'd be about single digits to zero/below zero for highs and single digits to 20 below for lows possibly colder. If you had a snow pack on the ground with clear skies with this Polar Vortex Air mass you'd be crying uncle!!!!!

5 weeks until summer and we are talking frost, freeze, snow still and next week as well. After this, Mid May we'll rebound to warmer temps 65-70 degrees and it will feel great after this.
Dew Points - I'll take this from July 4th until September 15th please LOL!

GFS really?? This model hitting the pipe??

If this were this winter we'd be happy but ...!

For fun only at this time

Where is the cold coming from - SANTA sent it LOL!

12ZEuro is more realistic to a degree but still

raw day out..currently 51 with winds 13 mph from the east

Okay folks this can be historic this weekend. Temps near freezing for lows or below in some sections of NNJ and HV and snow. Oh highs only 40-46 for the area Sunday
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Look at the freezing line in white for America on Saturday morning insane

GFS saying it too now, history in the making if we get flakes into NYC and the coastal plain. Last time in recorded modern history.....CP any ideas?

MAY IT show LOL!!!

weatherwatchermom wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Our stretch of nice weekends may come to an end soon.

Rain Wednesday and looks likely for Saturday too as a coastal storm tries to form. We'll see if models still show this system by mid-week

Thank you for the update Frank..missed  you...hope all is well?!

Being home for a long stretch of time is getting me cranky, but I've been well

mwilli wrote:I was given a weather question and could not give a answer question is "if a tropical storm/hurricane  formed in Fla and heads up the east coast could the force of the winds kill the virus"? Logic tells me no..what do you think

Logic is correct

Whose ready for the rain Friday afternoon into Saturday morning? I would not discount N&W seeing some non accumulating snow. Hey, maybe even the coastal plain sees a changeover to snow at the backend



850mb temps will be cold enough but the surface temps will be above freezing for many





My thought is a changeover to snow for N&W - MAYBE up to 1" in spots - but for the most part I think it's non accumulating.

Starting to look like this May snow could be real? I’m starting to feel pretty confident the rain ends as snow Friday night. Probably no accumulation (except maybe in higher elevations of NJ like Sussex Co.), but can definitely see flakes falling from the sky for many people if you stay awake late enough.