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May 2020 Observations & Discussions

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Post by frank 638 Fri May 15, 2020 3:44 pm

Crazy how last week we were dealing with snow squall And snow showers now it’s summer currently it’s 83*And I am ready for a good thunderstorm nothing severe

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Post by jimv45 Fri May 15, 2020 4:07 pm

Tornado Watch just put up to my north! looks like a busy night ahead.

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Post by dkodgis Fri May 15, 2020 5:23 pm

Storm right over me now. Raining hard and bloooooooooooowing.

More to come, I think.
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Post by jimv45 Fri May 15, 2020 6:14 pm

Now tornado watch in my backyard, looks to be a very solid line on the future cast around 10 pm here!

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Post by billg315 Fri May 15, 2020 6:37 pm

Radar is fired up. Does look like the heaviest lines may be in the more northern part of the region but I’m holding out hope down here.
May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 B3e5f510
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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 15, 2020 6:51 pm

This will die out after the mountains and the sun will have set long b4 gets to NJ and NYC area. That line is way more than 3 hours away it's still in western pa. I don't see much for NJ or southern and NYC atea. We will see.
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Post by jimv45 Fri May 15, 2020 7:12 pm

Nice cell going through right now!! winds came in a hurry some hail also.

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Post by billg315 Fri May 15, 2020 7:45 pm

Storms continue encroaching on the area.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri May 15, 2020 7:52 pm

Hit a high of 84.9*, what a gorgeous day, even got a little sunburn as I took a vacation day and just chilled in the backyard. It doesn't look like NENJ will see too much action besides rain and wind, nothing severe, we'll see...

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Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 15, 2020 9:39 pm

Yawn not even a drop of rain. Another threat let down. What a surprise.
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Post by billg315 Fri May 15, 2020 9:54 pm

Meh. Run of the mill T’Storm here. Nothing severe, nothing special. Barring something bigger overnight, nothing to write home about. Once again New England wins.
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Post by dkodgis Fri May 15, 2020 10:44 pm

It was raining heavily from 8:30 to 10 pm with some thunder in between. For sure a soaker. It would have been bad to be out in it. Wind gusts of 35 mph. Nothing crazy insane but definitely blowing hard, trees swaying, very heavy rain in bursts with a dash of thunder. A welcomed distraction
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat May 16, 2020 8:25 am

Got skunked again last night hardly any rain here in NENJ. But we'll make up for it soon. This is Tuesday, GFS gives us over 2" of  rain by Wednesday....

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Gfs_re10


Nam is a bit slower and OTS

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Namcon12

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat May 16, 2020 9:51 am

Dunnzoo wrote:Got skunked again last night hardly any rain here in NENJ. But we'll make up for it soon. This is Tuesday, GFS gives us over 2" of  rain by Wednesday....

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Gfs_re10


Nam is a bit slower and OTS

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Namcon12

hope you are doing well?!! We did not get anything last night either..lets see what happens on Tues...we just need next Fri to be good..BOAT going in!! we will do our social distancing on the water this summer!! Have a good weekend!
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Post by amugs Sat May 16, 2020 10:34 am

GFS bring it up the coast and EURO has nada goes from one run of 6" of to nada

GFS wetness
May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Gfs_ap12

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 Sun May 17, 2020 8:04 am

So much for the rainy week. If the current models hold we may not see a drop of rain until Wednesday night or Thursday. Looks like Arthur clips the Outer Banks and heads OTS as these things tend to do.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun May 17, 2020 8:31 am

It looks like the sub tropical system will remain off the coast.

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_8

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon May 18, 2020 1:44 pm

Memorial weekend not looking good

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Post by phil155 Mon May 18, 2020 3:37 pm

I guess Arthur may hangout down the shore (just off the coast)? I thought it was supposed to make a right and head away from us?

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Post by sroc4 Mon May 18, 2020 4:13 pm

phil155 wrote:I guess Arthur may hangout down the shore (just off the coast)? I thought it was supposed to make a right and head away from us?  

Hey Phil.  The weather for the holiday weekend wouldnt be from Arthur.  You are correct in that he will make a Right and head harmlessly OTS.  Soon.  The weekend weather will be a series of mid level shortwaves triggering precip because the air will likely be fairly humid. I dont think it will be a washout. As of now late Sat into early Sunday looks the worst but timing is everything.

Cheers!

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 173827_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

May 2020 Observations & Discussions - Page 6 Gfs_midRH_neus_22

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"   WINTER 2024/2025 TOTALS 0.00
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by phil155 Mon May 18, 2020 4:25 pm

figures though that a long holiday weekend will have unsettled weather. Not that I have anywhere to go but it would have been nice to be in my backyard with the sun out or at least a dry weekend

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Post by amugs Wed May 20, 2020 11:51 pm

Saturday looks like crap!! Rainy and cool with highs in the low 60's!!
Record lows possible tonight!

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri May 22, 2020 11:41 am

Ahhh but 80's next week!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2023-2024  17.5"    

Snowfall winter of 2022-2023       6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022     17.6"    1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021     51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020       8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by dkodgis Sat May 23, 2020 9:34 am

92% humidity. Raining. 65 degrees. A tea and a good book day.
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Post by jmanley32 Sat May 23, 2020 12:17 pm

Interesting how that area of rain over NYC and easten NJ is rotating like the center of a hurricane, is it the center of a LP?
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sat May 23, 2020 12:53 pm

dkodgis wrote:92% humidity. Raining. 65 degrees. A tea and a good book day.

yep...99% humidity here 65* rain slowed down...boat went in yesterday..and your pool is open..of course its going to rain... Sad ....bright side we can make it pj day today!! have a good weekend
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Post by frank 638 Sat May 23, 2020 6:56 pm

Crazy day today this morning I woke up it was foggy and Very muggy as the afternoon went on we had On off heavy showersNow it’s very windy and chilly

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